Keith Hennessey is 90 percent sure that the bill is dead:
Is it possible the President could rally Democrats over the next week to a unified position? Might House liberals conclude that the Senate bill is better than nothing? Might Senate Democrats have a change of heart and be willing to spend more floor time on a new health care reconciliation bill? Could the President rally Congressional Democrats with his State of the Union Address the way he did with his September speech? The past two weeks proves that anything is possible, so in theory yes on all four.
But the way things are trending, I wouldn’t bet on it.