Will Democrats Lose The Senate?

Andrew Sullivan —  Apr 15 2011 @ 1:43pm

Nate Silver runs the odds:

The simple fact that Democrats have 23 senators up for re-election in 2012 — compared to just 10 for the Republicans — tilts the playing field in the G.O.P.’s favor. And although both parties have had their share of retirement announcements, the Democrats’ — particularly Kent Conrad’s in North Dakota and Jeff Bingaman’s in New Mexico — have tended to come in more vulnerable seats.

But as I’ll aim to demonstrate for you, I don’t think the Republicans are terribly heavy favorites: instead just a wee bit above 50 percent.