The Fringe Could Win, Ctd

Jun 2 2011 @ 8:34pm

Jonathan Bernstein counters Daniel Larison:

[R]ight now, I'd almost completely ignore the polls. I'd pay attention to high-profile endorsements, fundraising success, and any other signs of party support — success in signing up prominent staffers, for example. I'd also pay a lot of attention to anti-endorsements: any strong statements by important GOP leaders that a candidate or a candidate's issue positions are unacceptable (or just the fact of unacceptable issue positions; that's why Hunstman isn't, in my view, a plausible nominee).

Larison is unsatisfied with this answer.