A Romney-Palin Race?

Jun 7 2011 @ 12:05pm

And so we confront the question. Can the shameless beat the clueless?

More than six in 10 Americans say they do not consider Palin qualified to serve as president. That is a slightly better rating for the former governor than through most of last year, but is another indication of widespread public doubts about a possible presidential run.

The Post-ABC poll asked Republicans and GOP-leaning independents whom they would vote for if a primary or caucus were held now in their state. Romney topped the list, with 21 percent, followed by Palin at 17 percent. No one else reached double digits …

Meanwhile, the Post poll finds the OBL bounce for Obama over. The poll of polls does not yet suggest that as we reported a couple days ago. But the WaPo might be the leader of a trend, given the recent gloomy jobs news. Then there's the data that Ron Brownstein reports in National Journal, which suggest resilient Obama strength:

[Obama']s approval rating among college-educated white women–who gave him a 52 percent majority of their votes in 2008–has revived from 46 percent last August to 56 percent in the latest survey. Likewise, he's recovered among independents from 43 percent then to 54 percent now, and among Hispanics from 53 percent last summer to 65 percent in the latest poll. Each of those results returns him close to his 2008 showing with those groups.

Obama has seen comparable improvements in the poll among groups more dubious of him. His approval rating among white men without a college education–one of his toughest audiences since his emergence as a national candidate–has improved from 30 percent last August to 38 percent now, essentially even with the 39 percent of them he carried in 2008. He has recorded similar gains among whites aged 30-44–families in their prime child-rearing years–also placing him back at his vote level with them in 2008.

That poll was taken May 18 – 22. I think we can safely say that the political climate is volatile.