Could Romney Lose New Hampshire?

Andrew Sullivan —  Sep 16 2011 @ 10:59am


Mitt’s prospects here may be more fragile here than they appear from afar. Despite his advantages, Romney is drawing roughly one-third of the vote here–or just about the 31.6 percent he finished with in 2008. Romney’s rivals like to describe him as an “incumbent” for the purposes of the New Hampshire contest, and that seems fair. Last time around Mitt was still introducing himself to voters; now his name recognition is about 100 percent. But any incumbent running just over 30 percent and not increasing his numbers is hardly in a commanding position.

Which means that Huntsman needs to focus very tightly on the Granite state. His tax reform proposals should be front and center.