It's now official. Not just one poll, but the combined impact of all of them. In the last six days, Gingrich's lead has been cut by half, and a surging Paul has squeaked past a rising Romney. There are a couple of other straws in the wind. Rasmussen shows Romney slightly ahead (a sign, perhaps, of the base rallying round the establishment candidate) and Gingrich at 20 percent. But Paul's support might be coming from outside the core GOP, especially among the young. And I note also Perry's late rise back to fourth place. There's a market for gay-bashing among some Iowa Republicans.
Still, I suspect anything can happen. I can only predict this: if Paul wins, Ailes at el will spin it as a Romney victory.