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Only half its delegates will be counted, and the national polls show Newt slightly ahead. Yes, a loss in Florida would be very damaging, if it's big. If it's close, after a 5 – 1 negative media avalanche, Gingrich will be angry and cornered. I also note that the two latest polls in Florida show a tightening again. Not sure if it's a fluke, but this race has had so many ups and downs, and there are still so many undecideds (1 in 4 in the Quinnipiac poll), that I'm leery of assuming anything.