Santorum Apes Paul?

Mar 12 2012 @ 2:37pm

Buzzfeed has obtained a memo outlining Santorum's new long game, which essentially depends on a brokered convention. Zeke Miller explains the strategy as "winning-by-losing": 

The memo, to be distributed today, indicates that the Santorum campaign seems more concerned with arguing that Romney will not win a majority of delegates to the Republican National Convention, rather than making the case for why he will. Indeed, the over-2,000-word memo only addresses the possibility of Santorum reaching a majority in its final paragraph, and only as a throw-away. Central to Santorum's strategy are county and state conventions, which select delegates to the convention in caucus states. Santorum's campaign asserts that they will outperform their caucus-night delegate shares because convention-goers are by-and-large more conservative than the average Republican voter.

Michael Brendan Dougherty pokes holes

1) Ron Paul is already pursuing something like it, counting on state conventions and other internal GOP events to grant him more delegates than his share of the popular vote allows. And Paul's campaign is more organized than Santorum and has been pushing this strategy for months longer. 2) It assumes that political forces, like the rest of the Republican party, will just allow Santorum to destroy the presumptive nominee on the tiniest hope that after breaking the Republican convention into pieces Santorum can reassemble it himself. 3) It also assumes that Santorum is going to continue scoring embarrassing victories against Romney. But polls show Romney is already starting to close the gap in Alabama and Mississippi. 

Jim Antle is more optimistic

There are a lot of conservative primary voters out there who are least open to a contested convention and would like to deny Romney the nomination by any means necessary. They would regard as a strategy to deny Romney a majority as a victory of sorts, and might look favorably on any candidate with a plan to do so.

Ed Morrissey has more