Iran Isn’t The Evil Empire

Mar 29 2012 @ 10:30am

David Slungaard worries that there are fundamental differences between deterring the Soviets and deterring a nuclear Iran:

Should Iran cross the nuclear threshold, attempts by the U.S. to construct effective deterrence strategies will require accurate information regarding Iran’s strategic capabilities and signals. Therefore, attempts by Iran to camouflage, project, or distort their capabilities will likely further frustrate the ability of Tehran and Washington to communicate clearly and decipher deterrence ‘signals’ correctly. Without the presence of ‘communication hotlines’ or effective signaling – both critical pieces of crisis management during the Cold War – the likelihood of conflict rises dramatically.