From Eric A. Posner’s favorable review of Jim Manzi’s new book, Uncontrolled: The Surprising Payoff of Trial-and-Error for Business, Politics, and Society:
The book is less interested in [testing methods] than in the limits of empirical knowledge. Given these limits, what attitude should we take toward government? As Manzi explains, our grasp of the universe is shaky even where, as in the case of physics, “hard science” plays the dominant role. The scientific method cannot establish truths; it can only falsify hypotheses. The hypotheses come from our daily experience, so even when science prunes away intuitions that fail the experimental method, we can never be sure that the theories that remain standing reflect the truth or just haven’t been subject to the right experiment.
Manzi’s book a fresh, dense and fascinating exploration of what the policy implications of a true “conservatism of doubt” would mean. I hope it can jumpstart a conservative intellectual renaissance.