North Carolina’s Amendment One, Ctd

Andrew Sullivan —  May 4 2012 @ 3:38pm

Silver calculates that the anti-gay amendment will pass:

One version of the model, which recognizes the increasing support for same-sex marriage over time but treats the increase as slow and linear, projects that the North Carolina amendment will pass by 19 points.

Earlier Dish on the amendment here, herehere, and here.