Could Akin Survive? Ctd

Andrew Sullivan —  Aug 21 2012 @ 12:46pm

Josh Marshall speculates that Akin will stay in the race. Mataconis thinks Akin is cooked:

I wouldn’t put too much stock in the head-to-head number just now. First of all, this is a flash poll conducted over only one night whereas PPP typically polls over three nights in order to get a representative sample, Second, as Ed Morrissey points out, the polls seems to have oversampled Republicans, which calls the head-to head numbers into question. What really matters are those unfavorable numbers, especially considering the fact that the poll oversampled Republicans. It’s going to be next to impossible for Akin to recover from this with numbers like that, especially if he stays in the race and McCaskill just keeps pounding the airwaves with this remark, and the huge number of Republicans who have disavowed him. 

If they're both right, the GOP has a fine old mess on their hands.