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The poll of polls above – with heightened sensitivity – is from Florida, where the Obama bounce is fading and the race tightening. Ambers outlines Obama's remaining weaknesses:

I don't think there's much Obama can do to create jobs in his second term. I don't think Obama thinks he can create jobs without a major bipartisan deficit reduction plan already in place. It remains a vulnerability because his campaign is (properly) bashing Romney for being vague. Obama has a record, and that record is a proxy for his future intentions, but it is not a sufficient answer to the jobs question. On the other hand, I don't know if there is a sufficient answer to the jobs question.

He also points out Romney's weak spots:

[Romney] has a five-point plan to revive the economy that he cannot pay for using any mathematical system available to homo sapiens.

He has given conflicting signals on how much of ObamaCare he'll keep and how much he'll throw away. He has no answer about how he might deal with a Democratic Senate. Specifically, he will be pressed to describe which tax breaks he'll have to get rid of in order to move his plan toward revenue neutrality. Romney has avoided this question because he rightly wants to keep these options for use in negotiations with Congress if he becomes president, but to many ears, a "secret plan" is no plan at all.