How Likely Is Another Bush v. Gore?

Andrew Sullivan —  Nov 5 2012 @ 11:39am

Sam Wang runs the numbers:

Getting a popular vote and electoral vote mismatch can happen two ways: President Obama wins EV but not PV, or Romney does the same. These add up to 9%. This is a pretty low risk.

He calculates "Romney’s chance of winning the popular vote at 6%, odds of 16-1 against."