After reviewing public opinion polling, Harry Enten concludes that Armstrong’s confession to Oprah did him more harm than good:

Lance’s confession succeeded in alienating everybody. Only 17% in the SurveyUSA survey thought that Lance was being completely honest with Oprah. Those who thought he was a liar beforehand continue to think so now. Those who defended Lance for years, like ESPN’s Rick Reilly, now just feel they were duped. This is the political equivalent of having your own base turn against you.

This series of events matches the research on athletes who admit to steroid use in US sports, which indicates that it’s better just to keep denying …