“Jan Crawford Greenburg – who I think has always been ahead of the pack in on the nominations issue – reports that the White House is focused on Judges Luttig and Alito, and potentially Judges Owen and Williams.
Of these candidates Judge Alito seems most likely to me, and he is my prediction. Judge Alito would energize the President’s conservative supporters. But he would not be as much of a fight as the others. Luttig and Owen, in particular, raise the serious prospect of a filibuster and it seems unlikely in the current environment that the Administration is anxious to have that fight. It seems to me that the pressure to nominate a woman is considerably lessened now, and the focus is on getting someone confirmed. Judge Alito will be grudgingly confirmable to many Democrats once they look at his record.” – Tom Goldstein, SCOTUSBLOG, last Friday. (Marty Lederman also predicted Roberts and Alito in the order – last May.)
The key thing to remember about Bush’s nominees: they are all completely craven with respect to the executive’s powers in wartime. And wartime is now defined as: for ever. In my view, the real upshot of the Court’s shift under Bush may well be not in terms of the usual culture-war battles, but in terms of unrestricted executive power – to detain without charge, to cover up its own actions, and to torture. To do that, you have to get the Court out of the way. That’s what Cheney is doing; and what Roberts and Alito will support. Only the Congress will be able to stop the executive from now on.