MARRIAGE IN MICHIGAN

The roundhead right’s anti-gay constitutional amendment doesn’t seem to be gaining traction in Michigan. Polls tend to under-estimate hostility to gay marriage (people feel a little ashamed of their prejudices when talking to pollsters) but it’s striking to me that in the latest Michigan polls, the ban on gay marriage is currently losing:

Among likely voters, 51 percent said they would vote against such a ban, while just 45 percent said they would support it. Among registered voters, 51 percent were opposed and 44 percent said they would support it, the poll found.

Maybe this stuff will backfire in a few places. Here’s hoping.

WHY ARE WE WAITING?

This Rather story has the potential to become huge. We can have a few ideas about what’s going on behind closed doors at CBS. Rather is refusing to apologize or quit. Or he’s threatening to bring others down with him. Or the sources for the forgeries are political dynamite – whether they’re connected to the Kerry or the Bush campaigns – and so decisions have to be made about whether to expose them. It’s like a good Washington thriller. And it has the potential to transform the election.

EMAIL FROM PENNSYLVANIA

“Just a personal observation about campaign organization which I think HAS to reflect on general organization(or lack of) as well: went to see Kerry the day after the convention in downtown Scranton. Showed up over two hours past scheduled start time, in the heat. Many people pissed off due to the caste structure of proximity to the stage. Had water trucks but ran out of cups. EVERYONE from Ben Affleck through Teresa through the Edwards’ and finally Kerry, blathered on endlessly. Bush comes to Scranton day after convention at the local baseball stadium. Scheduled for 9:30. He and Laura step out of the dugout at exactly 9:30. Beverages and Krispy Kreme donuts for sale. Everyone happy because it is set up so everyone can see either from the seats or on the field.” And people wonder why Bush is winning.

EMAIL FROM MASSACHUSETTS

“Yesterday was primary day in Massachusetts and it was a good day for marriage equality. Every incumbent who voted for equality and who faced an opponent won. In addition, two anti-equality incumbents lost to equality challengers. Neither will face an opponent in November. And a pro-equality candidate won an open seat being vacated by an anti-equality representative.
In a related couple of stories, today’s polls in the Boston Globe show that gay marriage is not high on the voters’ priority list here and that Gov. Romney’s popularity continues a slow but steady decline. Maybe because of this, Romney has been saying that gay marriage will not be a Republican theme in this year’s November elections here. He has decided that Republicans have a wide range of opinions on the topic and it is best left to each individual to decide. Sounds to me like he’s discovered that anti-marriage equality is a loosing proposition here.” I have a feeling that marriage equality forces are going to win a popular mandate in Massachusetts. And then the roundhead right will have to make their case not on the judicial activism point but on the substantive argument that gay people must be kept out of marriage for the institution to survive. They’ll lose that argument, because they have no hard evidence to support it. And against the appeal of formal equality and states’ rights, they will have an uphill struggle.

RATHER IS GOING DOWN

This new story seems to me to show reckless indifference to the truth in the pursuit of political pay-dirt. Honestly, you can’t make this stuff up. If a couple of years back, someone had predicted that a) Howell Raines would be brought down by a fabricating affirmative action hire; b) the BBC would lose its director-general because of shoddy anti-war propaganda tarted up as journalism; and c) that Dan Rather would flame out over forged documents designed to wreak revenge on the Bush family; then I would think it was Brent Bozell having a wet dream. But it’s all true. Bernie Goldberg, pour yourself a drink. Eric Alterman, just go home and cry.

UPDIKE ON A DOG’S DEATH

A reader sent in this wonderful little poem, in honor of the late beagle, Euclid. I hope Updike won’t sue me for reprinting it. You can buy his collected poems here. Here’s the late beagle:

Euclid

And here’s the gem:

She must have been kicked unseen or brushed by a car.
Too young to know much, she was beginning to learn
To use the newspapers spread on the kitchen floor
And to win, wetting there, the words, “Good dog!

Good dog!”

We thought her shy malaise was a shot reaction.
The autopsy disclosed a rupture in her liver.
As we teased her with play, blood was filling her skin
And her heart was learning to lie down forever.

Monday morning, as the children were noisily fed
And sent to school, she crawled beneath the youngest’s bed.
We found her twisted and limp but still alive.
In the car to the vet’s, on my lap, she tried

To bite my hand and died. I stroked her warm fur
And my wife called in a voice imperious with tears.
Though surrounded by love that would have upheld her,
Nevertheless she sank and, stiffening, disappeared.

Back home, we found that in the night her frame,
Drawing near to dissolution, had endured the shame
Of diarrhoea and had dragged across the floor
To a newspaper carelessly left there. Good dog.

KERRY FINDS HIS VOICE

I liked this tack:

“So I’ll be straight with you: things are getting worse. More than a thousand Americans have been killed. Instability is rising. Violence is spreading. Extremism is growing. There are now havens for terrorists that weren’t there before. And the Pentagon has even admitted that entire regions of Iraq are now controlled by insurgents and terrorists. The situation is serious – and we need a president who will set a new direction and be straight with the American people.”

What I like about it is not necessarily Kerry’s prescription. I don’t think he’s likely to resolve this any more effectively than Bush will. Most of the damage has already been done. What I like is Kerry’s challenging the Bush administration’s propensity to avoid facts, deny reality, and slime opponents as a campaign strategy. We need a debate on Iraq. We need a real thrashing out of what has gone wrong and how to put it right. We need to hold this administration accountable for its errors and arrogance and pig-headedness. Why has no one been held accountable for the WMD intelligence fiasco? Why has the Abu Ghraib shame been fobbed off onto underlings, when real responsibility for the chaos that allowed it to happen belongs in the Oval Office? What gets me about Bush is his utter refusal to take responsibility for the consequences of his own decisions. That goes for Iraq and the way in which he has squandered our fiscal future. The left doesn’t really get this because they were never that keen on the war in the first place and they do not get hot and bothered about government spending. And much of the right just echoes the party line. At least Kerry is finally asking the right questions. Someone has to.

BLAIR’S AUTHORITARIANISM: I’ll never really get America’s gun culture. Like most immigrants, I find the whole NRA subculture frightening when it isn’t funny. But I sure do respect the fundamental notion that, as a general rule, the government shouldn’t be telling people what they can and cannot own, and what they can and cannot do in their spare time. So I’m no big anti-gun person either. And when you look at Britain, you realize that the NRA isn’t the worst thing in the world. Tony Blair’s latest attack on domestic liberty is his government’s decision to ban any fox-hunting. Fox hunting is an absurd, cruel and comic activity of rural folk that nonetheless has every right to exist. What’s worse: the cops are going to ridiculous lengths to enforce the ban. The Daily Telegraph reports:

“Chief constables intend to site CCTV cameras on hedgerows, fences and trees along known hunting routes to enable them to photograph hunt members who break the law after hunting with hounds is outlawed. The controversial measure was agreed at a secret meeting between David Blunkett and the chief constables of England and Wales after the hunting ban was announced last week. Police chiefs warned the Home Secretary that enforcing the ban would cost in excess of $30 million and divert resources from front-line policing.”

Mark Steyn has great fun with this:

In Britain, Soho’s views on hunting should be no more relevant than Somerset’s opinion of gay leather bars. But they are. And those Left-wing columnists who go on about the “climate of fear” in Bush’s America ought to remember that, even in their wildest power-crazed dreams, Bush and John Ashcroft will never be able to issue a national ban on centuries-old traditions merely because they offend metropolitan taste.

Well, Bush and Ashcroft can try and foist a national ban on gay marriage; but the deeper point is that puritanism knows no politics. The desire to control other people’s lives is a universal on both right and left. And universally deplorable.

BORN-AGAIN DIVORCE

A new survey finds that born-again Christians are just as likely to get divorced as everyone else; and, in some instances, seem to have a higher rate of divorce than others. Jesus, of course, was explicit in his condemnation of divorce (unlike homosexuality). A large majority of born-again Christians disagree. Just don’t call them cafeteria Christians. They have their focus on the real threat to marriage: those who have always been barred from marrying.

KERRY ON MEDICARE: Worse than Bush, I’d say. If that were possible. Josh Claybourn despairs.

NOW, THE PILL: The increasing popularity of laws that allow doctors and pharmacists to opt out of certain practices or even certain kinds of patient is a worrying trend. It was designed in part by the religious right to prevent gay people from having access to good medical care, and also to protect doctors from being forced to perform abortions. Now, its effects are being extended to the birth control pill, which some believe can be a form of abortion. The slow and fitful attempt of the far right to control others’ sex lives continues. If you approve, vote Republican.

BLOGGER BLOCK

So I’m trying to write an … essay. I used to be able to. But this time, it’s like shaving by pulling one chin-hair out at a time. What has happened to me? Maybe blogging is like a constant diet of fast-food. The idea of making a real meal gets to seem an insuperable, Sysyphean, Julia Childean, get-the-Sunnis-on-board task. And the distractions! Only 503 more emails to read! And only 435 of them have “Satan for Bush” or ‘Fuck You, Andrew” in the cover-line. Did Derbyshire fart again? Someone just sent me a piece about anti-Semitism in Sweden. And that’s not even counting trying to create a forged document on MicrosoftWord. Take that, Dan! At this rate, I’ll be scanning Bigmuscle.com for the rest of the day, if only to get away from bunnies playing sharks. M u s t f o c u s on essay. Peter will fire me. I’m already a week late. Maybe I’ll go the gym after a quick latte. I’ll be thinking more clearly then. Oh, and by the way …

ANTI-SEMITISM WATCH: It’s pretty grim in Sweden.