Kerry has a ten-point lead among likely voters under 30. But the most interesting finding is the following:
A full third (34 percent) of all young voters expect a draft to be enacted as a result of the war on Iraq, with expectations skewing higher among the youngest voters (44 percent of 18 to 21-year-olds).
For the record, I cannot possibly see how the Bush administration can achieve its global objectives without a big increase in military troop levels or a draft. But, of course, the relationship between what we need and what this administration is prepared to provide is, to put it kindly, a tenuous one.
NOW, INCEST: Alan Keyes goes on the attack again, saying children of gay parents will live in families where “incest becomes inevitable.” I await the outrage of Matthew Dowd, Lynne Cheney, Bill Kristol, Bill Safire, Mort Kondracke, Maureen Dowd, and on and on. Oh, wait. It’s only if you say a positive thing about gay people that you’re a homophobe. (Hat tip: Blueline.)
THE HOCKEY STICK LIVES! Crooked Timber blog has already tried to debunk the claims of the global warming piece I linked to earlier today. Hey, we believe in empiricism on this blog. We’re not the Bush administration. Make your own mind up.
ANOTHER CASE FOR BUSH: My friend and colleague Sarah Baxter says she’s a proud liberal voting for Bush – entirely on the war and Kerry’s insufficient cojones and intellect to wage it well. I understand her point entirely. But notice that even this pro-Bush piece concedes something the Bush people never will:
I’m bitterly disappointed by the way Bush has botched the post-war situation. The neoconservatives with the ear of the president wilfully underestimated Iraqi nationalist sentiments. I feel horribly ashamed about the degrading behaviour of American guards at Abu Ghraib prison. I am not alone, however, in both hating the mess and preferring Bush over Kerry as president.
I admire Sarah’s intellectual honesty. To look squarely at this administration’s spectacular errors and still prefer Bush to Kerry – is an honest position. Alas, it implies that Bush is capable of understanding, let alone correcting error, or that re-election won’t only entrench his own sense of infallibility.
The Dish 