What is happening to serendipity and socialization in a world where everyone has white wires coming out their ears? My latest column for the Sunday Times is now up.
ALTMAN WALKS BACK: Larry Altman, whose uneven reporting on HIV has been debunked before, is now walking back his paper’s hysterical series of articles on an alleged HIV strain that is not new and whose virulence has not been proven. What’s really shocking to me is that we finally have evidence for why the health authorities panicked. Here’s the money quote:
At the time [the single patient involved] tested HIV-positive, his CD4 cell count — a gauge of the health of his immune system — was lower than 100, a sign of advanced AIDS. A normal CD4 cell count is more than 650, and U.S. patients generally are infected 10 years before the CD4 count drops that low.
This is baloney. In fact, it’s extremely common for newly infected people to see their CD4 counts plummet very fast in the early stages before their own immune system bounces back. If they’re chronic crystal users, that immune system may be shot and may take some time to recover. In other words, this kind of drop in CD4 counts is routine among the newly infected. I’ve known dozens of cases where just-infected men see their CD4 counts drop to scary levels and viral load soars. But soon they recover. Again: more evidence that this “story” is no story. If health authorities want to warn people of the dangers of crystal meth use and of unprotected sex, then they absolutely should. But they shouldn’t use this kind of unsubstantiated scare tactic. It will only discredit the authorities. Would I buy anything New York’s health commissioner, Thomas R. Frieden, says in the future? Put it this way: he no longer has the benefit of the doubt. That’s not good for a public health authority.
ESTRICH VS KINSLEY: The exchange has to be read to be believed.