EMAIL FROM THE BASE

I wonder how prevalent this feeling is out there in the heart of RedStateland:

I think the odds that she will overturn Roe or Affirmative Action are zero-to-way-the-fuck-less-than-zero. And I stand by my prediction that this will be near-catastrophic for the Republican Party. As you have pointed out they have lost the fiscal high ground. They have governed ineffectively. Democrats, OTOH, balanced the budget and cut welfare. They are looking pretty good right about now, aren’t they?
I grew up with, was marinated in, and for some reason continue to live deeply among, the ‘Southern conservative base’. I’ve been to the conservative churches, parties, PTA meetings, gatherings, etc. They will ABSOLUTELY sit on their hands in ’06 and ’08. I think that aspect of this has been way under-explored. If Harry turns out to be a centrist or left-of-center, Republicans are dead meat.
REMEMBER: we only need about 4% of conservatives to sit out, much less vote Democratic, to totally screw up the party. And I think it’ll be more like 20% here in the South. Over the Supreme Court alone.
This is a ticking time bomb, and anyone, including Bush, including Miss Laura, that thinks otherwise, is living in a dream world.

For fiscal conservatives like me, the betrayal has already been about as deep and vast as it could be. For neocons like me, the bungling of Iraq has been, to say the least, distressing. But if you’re a theocon or religious righter who doesn’t really care that much about spending or Iraq but whose fundamental goal is to wrench the country back to a pre-Griswold Eden, the shit has only just hit the fan. So Bush destroys another base of support. Who’s left?

BRASSO! Another tactic in the iPod nano-scratch debate.