Malkin is having none of this comeback nonsense.
Month: January 2008
Can Clinton Save The GOP?
Republicans are, indeed, breathing more easily this morning:
Everyone, Republicans and Democrats alike, know why the GOP wants to face Hillary in November. It’s not because they like the Clintons, but because the Clintons unite the Republican base like no other Democrat — and perhaps like no other Republican. Hillary will star in thousands of mailers, television ads, and websites, all cajoling Republicans to open their wallets, organize, and get to the voting booth.
And — it will work. Even in a year where the fractures among the Republican coalition have been painfully evident, everyone will unite to keep the Clintons out of the White House. While Obama may have won some moderate Republicans to his side just based on his personal appeal, none will endorse the Restoration. Fredheads, Log Cabins, evangelicals, small-L libertarians, and hawks will all find a truce to battle Hillary to the last vote.
If it’s McCain versus Clinton, I start looking to support the Republican again. I’m not the only one.
The Democratic Divide
A nice summation:
As the exit polls have shown, the Democratic primary is turning into a battle between the people that pay for Social Security and those that collect it.
Kos Is Persuaded By McAuliffe
MSNBC has Terry McAuliffe on. Good job, he just convinced me to cast my California absentee ballot for Barack Obama. I like Hillary, it’s the people around her I can’t stand.
The Zbornak Effect?
It’s one of many theories about the polls. They did, however, predict the Obama result. What they missed was the older women vote that came out for Clinton. It’s not unlike 2004, when the pollsters got Kerry’s support right, but there was a hidden extra vote for Bush. There was a hidden extra vote for Clinton – fomr sympathetic women, in part.
Yglesias Award Nominee
"Bottom line: Republicans have to be careful that they don’t turn a windfall issue (the Democrats are mostly open-borders and captive to the identity-politics wing of the party) into a mass deportation albatross," – Victor Davis Hanson, NRO.
The Polling
The View From Your Window
Modesto, California, 8.15 am.
Whouley Did It?
The firewall held.
McCain Won On The War
He was the leader on voter judgments about his ability to handle international situations. Almost half of the GOP voters cited either the war in Iraq or terrorism as the most important issue facing the country. McCain led by a large margin among both of these groups of voters.
Of the Republican voters who said the war in Iraq was the top issue, McCain beat Romney 2-to-1. About two in 10 Republicans mentioned terrorism as their top concern. Again, McCain took those voters with 43 percent compared to Romney’s 24 percent.
Michigan will help:
Michigan will represent a last stand for Romney, who grew up in the state and whose father served there as governor. But his prospects are hardly sunny there, given that McCain won Michigan in 2000.
With no Democratic race to speak of in Michigan, the open GOP primary will likely attract droves of independent voters who historically have been drawn to McCain.
If it’s McCain versus Clinton this fall, he’ll be very hard to beat.
The Dish 