Blumenthal plays with the numbers:
I spent a few hours this week digging through the statewide polls and trend estimates on Pollster.com — and the electoral maps created by others — to try to resolve the polling argument of the moment: Which of the Democratic candidates for president makes the strongest candidate in the fall?
I come away with a warning: Although it is easy to make states light up as red or blue on a map depending on whatever poll, polling average or estimate you trust, the underlying data indicate a close race regardless of the Democratic nominee. Hillary Rodham Clinton may have a slight advantage for the moment, but the inherent shakiness of horse-race results at this stage of the campaign should give us all pause about reading too much precision into the current poll numbers.
The Dish 