Florida may be tightening, but I wouldn’t bet against Steve Hildebrand:
Florida is one state that has shown significant movement back to McCain. Although Obama still leads by two points on our trend estimate there (48.1% to 45.9), the margin has narrowed from a 6.1% Obama lead a week ago. Yesterday’s new Mason-Dixon survey, showing a dead heat of McCain 46%, Obama 45% helps confirm that tightening.
The Dish 