Tort Reform Won’t Fix Healthcare?, Ctd

by Patrick Appel

A reader writes:

For full disclosure, I am a Professional Liability Insurance Underwriter, specializing in Physician Malpractice. In other words, I study a physician's history, training, risk management techniques and pore over the medical records and court documents for any paid claims in their history to determine if they're good or bad docs. We're a very conservative company, so we don't touch the bad ones. And there definitely are some.
 
We're a large insurer, and we're a Mutual, so we're not-for-profit. We have no profit motive whatsoever, and any premiums collected in a given year that are not ultimately paid out (it takes 3-6 years on average for a suit to reach completion) are returned to the policyholders in the form of a dividend.  The majority of physicians in the country are insured by Mutuals (like TMLT in Texas).

 

Just so you know I'm not a complete shill, I'm a dyed-in-the-wool liberal, Obama voter, etc.  It just happens that I fell into the insurance industry about a decade ago and have spent the last seven years doing med mal. I drank the tort reform Flavor-Aid like all my liberal friends until I took this job. I deal with the nuts and bolts of this issue every single day, and I have had my political position completely turned upside down as a result.
 
As much as the trial lawyer lobby tries to dispute the facts, physicians did indeed flee Illinois in 2002 and 2003 after the judicial climate turned completely poisonous. There was a period in 2004 and 2005 where there were only 4 Neurosurgeons practicing in the entire state because several fled to Indiana, where there is an elaborate system of caps and state-funded malpractice insurance. The cost of malpractice insurance in Indiana is about 75% less than Illinois, and claims frequency and severity is a tiny fraction of Illinois'.
 
As for whether doctors in states with strong tort reform practice less defensive medicine, I'm afraid I have no stats on that, other than anecdotal evidence from my daily discussions with physicians. It's just too hard to quantify to get accurate numbers. Looking at overall expenditures is probably the closest you can get, but there are so many variables involved that it would be very difficult to adjust for them all.
 
I can say that for my company, after we initiated an elaborate Risk Management program a few years ago through which insureds could receive discounts for attending seminars, improving office procedures, electronic medical records, etc., claims frequency dropped by 28%. The program encourages fewer unnecessary tests and instead stresses improved record keeping, patient tracking, etc.  Most "failure to diagnose" claims (the most common type) are the result of poor record-keeping, not failure to run additional tests.
 
If there is one firmly anti-physician policy I would recommend, it would be to outlaw physician ownership of imaging centers, surgicenters, etc.  There is absolutely no doubt that a huge amount of waste is generated by physicians ordering unnecessary MRIs, etc., because they have a profit interest in the facility the patient is referred to. If this practice were ended, useless garbage procedures like virtual colonoscopies, 4-D ultrasound and full-body scans would be all but eliminated.

Another e-mail by the same reader responding to previous readers:

Easily disprovable lie #1: Texas malpractice insurance rates have declined every year since tort reform was enacted. Here's a link to TMLT, the largest insurer in Texas, with a press release about halfway down the page detailing the drastic reductions and dividends paid since enactment ($380M total). And they decreased immediately, not after some "Texas politicians" began to complain. 
 
#2: Your reader is correct on one point; there are already mechanisms to reduce frivolous lawsuits, one of which is the requirement of an Affadavit of Merit from an expert (a physician, in med mal cases) confirming that the case is meritorious. There has only been one change in Texas, California, Illinois, etc., to the filing requirements for medical malpractice lawsuits: the name of the physician filing the Affadavit of Merit must be disclosed, and their specialty of practice must be the same as that of the physician being sued. In the past, most Affadavits of Merit were submitted by a handful of non-practicing hired guns who remained anonymous and were ultimately found through discovery to have no relevant training on the subject of the suit.  Of course, by the time the baselessness of the suit was then discovered, thousands of dollars had already been spent on defense and countless hours of patient care lost by the physician being sued.
 
#3: Citing the inflation-adjusted decrease in overall indemnity payments is due precisely to tort reform, primarily in the country's largest economy, California, where MICRA was established in 1974. In non-tort reform states, indemnity payments have steadily increased.  In Illinois, which only adopted tort reform in 2007, the average (pdf, page 15) indemnity payment increased from $70,000 in 1980 to $630,000 in 2008.  If you adjust for inflation, those 1980 dollars would only be $182,943.81 in 2009. Clearly, this is not a decrease.
 
#4: The stats on percentages of physicians disciplined after suits speaks not to some nefarious physician-protecting cabal, but to the non-meritorious nature of the suits. Division of Professional Regulation complaints are prosecuted by professional prosecutors. They do not sit before a board, a la Bar Association reviews. And good physicians are more offended by bad medicine than the general public.
 
People need to understand that many cases result in payments because they are indefensible, but non-meritorious. Infant mortality is not exclusively due to malpractice; babies die. But a dead infant suit is nearly impossible to defend in most cases. Juries are not swayed by medical testimony, but they are swayed by a weeping mother grieving over the loss of her child. These cases are most often settled, as a jury trial generally results in a higher payment than a settlement.
 
#5: There are absolutely economic damages in cases involving dead infants.  The economic damages are based on the average life expectancy and lifetime income for the area in which the infant was born and would have been raised. Of course this cannot account for an infant who might have gone on to be either a millionaire or a pauper, but the median income of $35,000 over the average 45 year work period equals $1,575,000.  Reducing pain and suffering to $500K or $250K is hardly punitive.

Wii As Liberator

by Chris Bodenner

I recently spoke with the president of a local Rotary chapter about an Afghan man she recently sponsored on a trip to Michigan. Before heading back to Afghanistan, the Rotarians offered to buy him one thing to bring back to his family. He chose a Nintendo Wii for his wife and daughter. Why? Because where he lives, women are not allowed to exercise outdoors.

Cash For Clunkers, Continued

by Conor Clarke

My colleague Derek Thompson lays out some smart reasons why I'm wrong to call Cash for Clunkers a success. I have no quibble with one of those reasons (letting the government scrap the cars means destroying perfectly healthy capital) although that probably needs to be weighed against the environmental benefits of having fewer old cars on the road, since old cars produce the vast majority of transportation pollution. That, and it doesn't really speak to my point, which was that the speed of cash for clunkers is a testament to its success, regardless of what you think of the design.

And on the question of speed, Derek writes: "it's really quite likely that all we've done is spend $3 billion to make thousands of buyers to move their third/fourth quarter purchases into two weeks." To which I can respond: Congratulations, you have rediscovered the point of fiscal stimulus! We probably would not want to spend $3 billion such that Derek would buy tomorrow's bag of potato chips today. But the whole point of deficit-financed stimulus spending is really just that we spend money in the present, even if it comes at the expense of spending some money in the future (as a result of higher taxes or lower car purchases or whatever), and even if the spending in the present is not intrinsically useful. (The famous argument from Keynes was that we could just bury money in a mineshaft and hire people to dig it out, but that probably wouldn't go over politically.)

The View From Your Sickbed

by Patrick Appel

A reader writes:

The letter from the reader with acid reflux would be much more helpful if he had named the procedure. Most reflux is treated today with either medication to reduce the acidity of stomach contents or a procedure called fundoplication. There are several alternatives, but none are used much. One, the Enteryx implant, was recalled by the FDA.

Without knowing which one his doctor advocated it is hard to comment, but I wouldn't rely on the opinion of one doctor who favored the procedure as the last word on its safety and effectiveness. The idea that insurance companies can and will suppress a cheap and effective treatment because its very cheapness and effectiveness may generate demand and cost them money is a very serious charge. You don't have to believe that insurers are angels to be skeptical.

First, insurance companies are part of the business of medical care and their profits have grown with the business as a whole. If doctors had nothing to offer but aspirin and bed rest, no one would buy insurance. It may be in an insurer's interest to avoid paying for a particular instance of treatment, but it does not follow that the insurer would be better off if the treatment did not exist at all. By analogy, medical malpractice insurers fight every claim, but their business depends on there being claims. Health insurance premiums are adjusted frequently, so carriers can raise them as new treatments emerge.

Second, the class of reflux medications in use today, the proton pump inhibitors, are a huge cost to insurers. The leading brands, Prevacid and Nexium, are right behind statins like Lipitor as the most prescribed drugs. If insurers did make decisions the way the letter writer imagines, cheap surgery might look good.

Third, there are many active participants in the healthcare system with economic interests in conflict with those of the insurance companies. If doctors, medical device makers, and hospitals stood to benefit by the widespread adoption of a new technology, insurers would be unable to suppress it. They have no control over clinical trials, which are funded by the government, universities, and manufacturers, or over medical journals. Competition between branches of medicine helps as well. A procedure that could be done by a gastroenterologist instead of a surgeon would be of great interest go the gastroenterology community,
who would publicize the failure of insurers to cover it.

The best example of this is the way angioplasty and vascular stenting have replaced much coronary artery bypass grafting. These are less invasive and expensive substitutes that have expanded overall demand. This is a much bigger field with billions of dollars at stake. If the insurance companies exhibited the behavior and had the power that the writer hypothesizes, they would have killed angioplasty.

One more reader:

Likely your reader's doctor did not hear, or did not pass along, the correct history of GERD treatments. GERD is treated non-surgically by partially closing the esophagus where it enters the stomach, thus reducing the amount of stomach acid that splashes up out of the stomach. There were several non-surgical procedures to treat GERD that were approved in the US, and later withdrawn. A few years ago when I was looking to treat my GERD these non-surgical treatments were available:

Enteryx, which injected plastic into the wall of the esophagus. This device was later withdrawn from the market after patients died after the plastic was injected incorrectly.

EndoCinch, which uses sutures to fold up some of the inside of the esophagus. It's use declined after it was shown that the sutures did not last very long.

Stretta, which uses high frequency radio waves to literally burn parts of the esophagus. This created scar tissue which would expand thus partially closing the esophagus. It is still in use.

None of these treatments had then, or have now, good published scientific studies that prove their effectiveness. At that time, my insurance company would have paid for any of these treatments. It is perfectly reasonable and even generous for an insurance company to pay for a new unproven treatment that looks promisingly cheap and effective. And it is also perfectly reasonable for an insurance company to later withdraw approval for a treatment that is discovered to be dangerous or ineffective. This is how innovation works.

The One-Sided “Town Hall”

by Chris Bodenner

Adam Blickstein is right to point out that WaPo's coverage of the Standish "town hall" was woefully one-sided. True, all the speakers and most of attendees were adamantly against a transfer, but that was to be expected from a gathering with a sign out front labeling it "Anti-Gitmo." (Even the organizer admitted that he billed it as a "town hall" because "it’s sort of a buzzword.") Even so, the WaPo reporter failed to note either of the dissenters during the Q&A: a local businessman who said he was "disappointed in the panel" for having "no different viewpoints," and the local reporter, Tim Barnum, who put Hoekstra on the spot regarding the dozens of terrorists currently held in the Colorado. The article also said that nearly 200 people showed up, but it failed to mention that organizers had predicted 600, or that the church was about half empty.  By contrast, Barnum told me, the "Save Standish Max" rally at that same venue in June was so full that people were lined up against the walls.

The gathering yesterday was an important voice in the debate over Standish, but to give national readers the impression it spoke for most of the town is misleading.

Video-Game Economics, Ctd.

by Peter Suderman 

Single-player video games can help us understand basic economic principles. But online multiplayer games with thousands of players can help us understand how real economies work

Just as in real economies, the virtual economies of online game worlds also suffer from the malicious actions of those out to exploit the system. As the developers behind EVE Online, a popular online role-playing game with a fairly complex in-game economy, recently discovered, surgically removing the small number of offenders can make things better for all the other players. 

A small percentage of the game's players were found to be trading game currency for real money, which not only had serious adverse effects on the game's economy, but also was the prime source of in-game fraud. As Ars Technica reports, EVE's developers decided to take action:

For weeks they studied the behavior and effects these real-money traders had on the game, and then they struck. During scheduled maintenance, over 6,000 accounts were banned.

…What they found was these real-money traders were not only soaking up in-game, virtual assets as well as hacking accounts, but also taking way more than their fair share of server cycles. 

The result? Not only did they remove a cancer on the game's economy, they freed up a huge amount of processor power on their server: the real-money players were some of the most resource-intensive users. Essentially, this is targeted police action against people committing fraud and illegal transactions. One might see this as evidence of the  benefits of light regulation, but I think an even better to look at it is as an illustration of why most classical liberal economists — particularly Hayek — have argued that rule of law is essential for a functioning society. Even in anarchic online fantasy worlds, things work better when everyone adheres to an equal and agreed-upon set of rules. 

Politico Discredits Moral Case For Health Care Reform

by Conor Clarke

Politico writes:

And this week, [Barack Obama] returned to an argument Democratic strategists said shouldn't be part of the pitch this year — trying to convince Americans they have a “moral obligation” to help people without insurance, a discredited argument from the reform effort under President Bill Clinton.

I would be quite curious to hear how the "moral" argument for health-care reform has been discredited. Actually, I would be curious to hear how one would go about discrediting such a moral argument at all. The existence of death panels, on the other hand, can be easily discredited by making reference to the bill in question. But perhaps Politico has special access when it comes to issues of morality. (H/T David Roberts of Grist.)

The Horrible Things That Gay Marriage Will Do, Ctd

by Patrick Appel

Conor wrote yesterday about what Maggie Gallagher sees as the concrete consequences of marriage equality. He rightly questions her assumptions, but she also fails to state how this will all lead to the end of civilization, a fear she outlined elsewhere. Here's Gallagher a few months ago:

[In] the end–and this is not necessarily "optimistic" -I think civilizations that can't hang onto an idea as basic as to make a marriage you need a husband and a wife aren't going to make it in the long haul. So I'm not worried about the progressive myth that 200 years from now gay marriage will be the new world norm. I'm somewhat more worried about the kind of cultures around the world that might survive. It's not clear to me they'll have the virtues of American civilization for gay people or anyone else.

She still hasn't explained how teaching about gay marriage in public schools will lead to the end of western civilization. A reader writes:

I think it's interesting to note that Gallagher is perfectly content to argue against gay marriage with no facts or figures obtained from 'serious projects,' but when it comes time to put up or shut up in support of those arguments, it becomes a game of 'Gotcha.'