Greetings and Salutations

by Peter Suderman

Thanks to Andrew, Patrick, and Chris for having me this week. It's been more than a year since the last time I appeared at The Dish, so a brief introduction is probably in order. But what to say? As everyone who's seen Heathers knows, however, introductions can be awkward.

Sadly, I don't currently have a stupid question to ask or answer, so I figure I'll just stick with obvious background information, plus a smattering of trivia. Currently, I'm an associate editor at Reason as well as a frequent contributor to The American Scene. I've also served as an editor at National Review, Doublethink, and the short-lived Culture11. David Fincher is my favorite living movie director, The Dismemberment Plan is my all-time favorite band (I'll even defend Travis Morrison's solo records), and Fahrenheit 451 is my favorite novel. In recent weeks, I've wasted an astounding amount of time playing Fable II on the Xbox 360. I plan to spend this week writing about movies, comic books, video-games, and health-care politics and policy, among other things.

Also, full disclosure for those who don't already know: I'm happily engaged to the loveliest woman on the web — or, for that matter, anywhere else — Megan McArdle.

Questions? Comments? Want to know what Megan's really like? Email me at peter.suderman@reason.com.

UPDATE: A couple of people have written in to ask for the rest of my work experience. Glad you asked! Google tells all without my help, but, for those who're interested, I've also previously worked as an editor at the Competitive Enterprise Institute; a staff writer at FreedomWorks; a public relations assistant at the career services department of the University of North Florida; a sales associate at a Books-A-Million in Destin, Florida; a waiter, for six consecutive summers, at Fudpuckers (once ranked one of the top spring break spots in the U.S. by Rolling Stone); a bus boy at TGI Fridays (though only for a week), and some sort of associate team member something-or-other at Winn Dixie during my senior year in high school. And, in the interests of even fuller disclosure, my position at Reason is thanks, in part, to the good graces of the Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation — though any opinions I express here are my own. Also, I cut grass in my hometown suburb from the time I was about 13 until I was about 16. Any other questions? You know where to send them.

What Sort Of Public Plan?

by Patrick Appel

Richard Thaler thinks the public plan, which looks like it may be scrapped, should be judged by the details, not the concept:

[H]ere’s some free advice to members of Congress: While you are enjoying your August recess and town hall meetings, instead of arguing about whether to have a public option, argue about the ground rules. To the Republicans, I say this: If you can get real assurances that the public option has to break even, and that it will get no special deals from suppliers, let the Democrats have it but ask for concessions on tort reform in return. (That could actually save some money.) The resulting public plan will be too small to notice.

To the Democrats, I say this: If you want competition in health care, you won’t get it if the public option can make deals its competitors can’t. So either give the Republicans hard assurances that the public option would have to break even and not get special treatment, or, better yet, just give it up to ensure that some useful health care reform is passed. A public option is neither necessary nor sufficient for achieving the real goals of reform, and those goals are too important to risk losing the war.

Will Iran Fail To Build A Bomb?

by Patrick Appel

Clive Thompson profiles Bueno de Mesquita, "one of the world’s most prominent applied game theorists,"   who applied game theory to Iran's nuclear program. His conclusion:

By early 2010, according to the forecast, Iran will be at the brink of developing one, but then it will stop and go no further. If this computer model is right, all the dire portents we’ve seen in recent months — the brutal crackdown on protesters, the dubious confessions, Khamenei’s accusations of American subterfuge — are masking a tectonic shift. The moderates are winning, even if we cannot see that yet.

Let's hope his model is right, but I'm skeptical that these questions can be predicted by equations alone.

Dust To Dust

by Patrick Appel

A sublime bit from a London Review of Books article on An Intellectual History of Cannibalism by Catalin Avramescu:

Man and other animals feed on the substance of their predecessors, because human bodies turn to dust and are scattered over the earth and into the air. Thus they are assimilated and become ‘legumes’. There is not a single man who has not ingested a tiny piece of our forefathers: ‘This is why it is said that we are all anthropophagi. Nothing is more reasonable after a battle: not only do we kill our brothers, but after two or three years we shall eat them, after they have put down roots on the battlefield.

The rest of the review, particularly the lede, is much more gruesome.

(Hat tip: Sunil)

Rise Of The Megaslums

by Patrick Appel

An illuminating article on slums and disease. Snippet:

Not only are today's slums larger than in the 19th century, but they are more dense. Though they are low-rise structures, the square footage is tiny with a lot of people living in each shack. They are built haphazardly along narrow footpaths, not the broad grids of the inner city. A small fire can spread to destroy 1,000 units of housing in 15-20 minutes. Infectious diseases travel rapidly in such an environment. Slums as contiguous swaths of settlement are largest in Latin America—the largest being on the southeastern edges of Mexico City. There are similar settlement patterns outside Bogota, Colombia, and Lima, Peru. Bombay has the largest slums in South Asia, with about a 500,000 population.

(Hat tip: 3QD)

The Tiger Effect

by Patrick Appel

Brayden King passes along a study:

My colleague in Kellogg’s management and strategy group, Jennifer Brown, has done some interesting research that might have implications for how we think about self-fulfilling prophecy. Her research on rank-ordered tournaments suggests that people actually perform worse when competing in the same tournament as a superstar. The context is the PGA tour. The superstar, of course, is Tiger Woods. She finds that when players compete with Tiger Woods their score is, on average, .2 strokes higher than normal (if you don’t follow golf, a high score is bad). The reason for this, she suggests, is that players don’t try as hard when Woods is in the field. The effect disappears when Woods is having a bad day, suggesting that players pick up their performance when they feel they have a chance.

The View From Your Sick Bed

by Patrick Appel

A reader writes:

Despite numerous attempts at losing weight, my father has been obese for most of his adult life. 10 years ago he was working at as a respiratory therapist at a prominent southern California hospital. He had very good health insurance. One of the many specialists he was seeing at the time recommended that he have gastric bypass surgery. Among my father´s obesity related illnesses were type II diabetes, hypertension, heart disease, asthma, sleep apnea, more than a few gastrointestinal disorders, two balky knees and several herneated discs in his lower back. All of my father´s specialists agreed that these conditions would be significantly improved if my father lost 100 pounds, and the cost of the gastric bypass surgery paled in comparison to the amount the healthcare industry would spend treating his obesity-related illnesses over the course of his remaining years. At first, my father was skeptical about having such a drastic procedure, but when he looked at it objectively, he decided that a drastic change was just what he needed to improve his failing health. Despite letters of support from several doctors of various specialties, my father´s insurer was extremely reluctant to approve the procedure.

But my father was persistent. He spent nearly a year filling out forms, filing appeals and visiting doctors and psychiatrists, jumping through every insurance company hoop. Then, just when there seemed to be a light at the end of the tunnel, my father´s employer laid him off along with half of his department. As soon as my father´s insurer learned that he was going to be extending his insurance via COBRA, they began completely stonewalling him about his surgery, because they knew that in a year he would be some other company´s problem.

At my father´s next job, his insurance was not nearly as good and the thought of starting the bureacratic process over again with an even slimmer chance of success was too much for my father to bear, so he dropped the idea of having the surgery. Then, three years ago, my father´s various ailments, primarily his knee and back problems, caused him to file for permanent disability. He moved into subsidized housing, living on a $1000 a month from the Social Security Administration. It was at that point that my father decided to get serious again about reducing his weight, and he began seriously reconsidering gastric bypass. He had health insurance through the California state MediCal program, but several years ago the state farmed out MediCal to private insurers, so what my dad actually had was very marginal insurance through an HMO.

Despite how futile it seemed, my father tried again with the HMO to get the gastric bypass procedure approved, but there were several barriers the insurance company had erected that made it almost impossible to get the procedure approved. One such requirement was that my father get an in-depth psychiatric examination that was not covered by the insurance. While it did not seem unreasonable for them to require my father to see a psychiatrist, it did seem ridiculous that the HMO refused to cover the cost of the visit which was over $700. You can imagine how difficult such an expense can be to someone living on $1000 a month.

Just when all seemed lost, something unbelievable happened. My father received a social security cost of living increase of $57 a month. Shortly thereafter, he received a letter from MediCal informing him that his insurance coverage had been terminated because he now made too much money to qualify for MediCal, but since he no longer qualified for MediCal, he was now entitled to receive Medicare coverage. Within 6 weeks of my father getting on Medicare, his gastric bypass procedure was approved and a date was scheduled. Medicare had identical requirements as the HMO regarding the procedure. The difference was that, unlike the HMO, Medicare paid for everything, including the psychiatric examination. My father had the procedure on July 3rd of last year. Since then, he has lost 120 pounds. He no longer suffers from sleep apnea. His hypertension, cholesterol and asthma medication doses have been reduced by more than half. He shows no signs of having type II diabetes, and his knee and back pain has improved so significantly that doctors are reconsidering the need for him to undergo knee reconstruction and back surgery, and my dad is planning to go back to work at the end of the year. He is currently working part time so that he can save up enough money to pay the back dues on his respiratory therapy license and return to work.

My father´s obesity related illnesses and time spent on disability have cost taxpayers an incredible amount of money. All of this could have been avoided if my father´s insurer 10 years ago would have been required to provide him the care he needed. But private insurers realize that the average patient only stays with them for 2-3 years, so they aren´t interested in reducing long-term healthcare costs because it´s the next company that sees the benefits. Hopefully, we can pass real healthcare reform that puts reducing healthcare costs above maximizing insurance company profits.