The Two Strains Of American DNA

James McManus distills it:

American DNA is a notoriously complex recipe for creating a body politic, but two strands in particular have always stood out in high contrast: the risk-averse Puritan work ethic and the entrepreneur's urge to seize the main chance. Proponents of neither m.o. like to credit the other with anything positive; huggers of the shore tend not to praise explorers, while gamblers remain unimpressed by those who husband savings accounts. Yet blended in much the same way that parents' genes are in their children, the two ways of operating have made us who we are as a country.

That's not just a metaphor, either. Geneticists have shown that there is literally such a thing as American DNA, not surprising when nearly all of us are descended from immigrants. We therefore carry an immigrant-specific genotype, a genetic marker expressing itself—in some environments, at least—as energetic risk-taking and competitive self-promotion. Even when famine, warfare, or another calamity strikes, most people stay in their homeland. The self-selecting group that migrates, seldom more than 2 percent, is disproportionally inclined to take chances. They also have above-average intelligence and are quicker decision makers. Something about their dopamine-receptor systems, the neural pathway associated with a taste for novelty and risk, sets them apart from those who stay put.

I'm sure the genetics of this can be hotly disputed. But leaving the science behind, I like the idea that these two strains balance each other to make something coherent. Things which look like contradictions on the OBAMA09GWJimWatson:AFP:Getty surface can actually be a fruitful dynamic in the actual human world.

In some ways, aren't these two types more expressive of the divide within America than the exhausted one of "left" and "right"? The risk takers and the prudent Puritans are temperaments rather than ideologies. There are elements of both among Democrats, Republicans and Independents. It's possible to be a risk-taking Democrat (Johnson) and a prudent one (Clinton). America has had risk-taking Republicans (Bush II) and prudent ones (Bush I) in the self-same family. There's the populist, radical kind of independent (Perot) and the dour, green eye-shade one (Peterson). The best presidents have both. Reagan was a huge risk-taker and bold leader, but his prudence was often over-looked. The man raised taxes, cut his losses in Lebanon, and decided to manage Gorbachev rather than humiliate him. Perhaps the archetypal risk-taker was Kennedy. The archetypal bank manager was Eisenhower.

And I think what we're seeing in America right now – in the Obama moment – is a belated resurgence of the prudent Puritan strain. After the dot-com bubble, the housing bubble, the market collapse, the two wing-'em wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the vast spending of the Bush years and the sudden leap in public debt caused by the recession, the mood has mercifully shifted. The Republican over-reach – in economics and foreign policy – is pretty hard to miss. There is a belated understanding that money does not grow on trees, that choices have to be made, that a fiscal reckoning is coming, and that the political system must be forced to deal with it. That's what was driving Olympia Snowe, I suspect – from the fiscally prudent and practical Northeast.

How does Obama fit into this? I see him as having a strange mix of the two. He harnessed the restless American spirit in his campaign in order to bring balance back in governance. He campaigned like Reagan and is governing like the first Bush.

His movement is the real risk-taker now; and he is its somewhat flinty, cautious manager. It's a useful dynamic.

He is, in this respect, something also quite familiar, as Tad Friend recently remarked. Obama might be the last gasp of true WASP power – trapped in a black man's body.

Now you don't get much more American than that.

(Hat tip: Ordinary Gentlemen)

Too Early To Call?, Ctd

Megan counters Daniel Gross. Von at Obsidian Wings piles on. Their arguments should be familiar to anyone who has followed the stimulus debate. They may be right, but the Dish can't help but recall this bit from David Frum:

Those of us who criticized the Obama stimulus plan for stretching into 2010 may have to eat our words. Government looks likely to be the only source of increased economic demand for at least the next half year.

The Dish suspects the back-loaded stimulus is the sneakiest mid-term tool Obama has in his belt.

A Poem For Thursday

LEAFPeterMcDiarmid:Getty

Robert Frost:

O hushed October morning mild,   
Thy leaves have ripened to the fall;   
To-morrow’s wind, if it be wild,   
Should waste them all.   

The crows above the forest call;           
To-morrow they may form and go.   
O hushed October morning mild,   
Begin the hours of this day slow,   

Make the day seem to us less brief.   
Hearts not averse to being beguiled,          
Beguile us in the way you know;   
Release one leaf at break of day;   

At noon release another leaf;   
One from our trees, one far away;   
Retard the sun with gentle mist;           
Enchant the land with amethyst.   

Slow, slow!   
For the grapes’ sake, if they were all,   
Whose leaves already are burnt with frost,   
Whose clustered fruit must else be lost—           
For the grapes’ sake along the wall.

Calling The Pro-Lifers’ Bluff On Contraception

The BBC reports:

The Guttmacher Institute's survey found abortion occurs at roughly equal rates in regions where it is legal and regions where it is highly restricted. It did note that improved access to contraception had cut the overall abortion rate over the last decade. But unsafe abortions, primarily illegal, have remained almost static.

Dan Savage pounces:

Banning abortion only makes abortions more dangerous and kills women—which is what many opponents of abortion are after, really. They want people who have sex to be punished. Seventy-thousand woman die every year as a result of unsafe abortions in countries where abortion is illegal. So let's just say it, shall we? American opponents of reproductive freedom—people who seek to ban abortion—are trying to kill American women. The end.

Not so fast, says Michael New:

[T]he media’s analysis [of the study] is faulty. Most of the countries where abortion is prohibited are in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America. These countries have low per capita income and a higher incidence of social pathologies that may increase the perceived need for abortion. This nuance is not picked up in any of the media coverage of the AGI report.

Interestingly, AGI has also released research that demonstrates the effectiveness of pro-life laws. This summer it released a literature review showing that 20 of 24 studies found that public funding of abortion increased abortion rates. Other AGI research has demonstrated that parental-involvement laws and well-designed informed-consent laws also reduce the incidence of abortion. Unfortunately, research like that typically receives scant attention from the mainstream media.

I'm not an expert on the studies New cites but the report itself clearly shows that liberalization of abortion laws and broad access to contraception through insurance is a highly effective policy mix in a developed country to reduce the abortion rate. I.e., by the Christianist argument, it is clearly saving lives. Here's a statistic worth mulling over, a comparison with a country culturally not far from the US:

Western Europe is held up as an example of what access to contraceptive services can achieve, and the Netherlands – with just 10 abortions per 1,000 women compared to the world's 29 per 1,000 – is held up as the gold standard. Here, young people report using two forms of contraception as standard.

Even the UK, which has a relatively high [abortion] rate, fares well in comparison to the US, where the number of abortions is among the highest in the developed world. The institute says this rate is in part explained by inconsistencies in insurance coverage of contraceptive supplies.

What are the odds that the Christianists are prepared to do the one thing that would actually reduce abortions dramatically: guarantee free contraception as part of a public option. Nothing would make the GOP's head explode more; and yet nothing would do more to achieve one of their alleged chief goals.

The price of fundamentalism.

Reinforcements In The Muddling Through Debate

A.J. Rosmiller echos some of the thoughts I had here:

To be at a “critical juncture” implies that one side or the other is poised to decisively gain the upper hand and therefore to win. But the situation in Afghanistan is almost the exact opposite of that. I will likely have my pundit card revoked for saying so–nothing diverts attention like saying that a situation isn’t at a critical turning point–but it’s true.

After eight years of fighting, two things seem clear: First, the insurgency does not have the capability to defeat U.S. forces or depose Afghanistan’s central government; and, second, U.S. forces do not have the ability to vanquish the insurgency. It’s true that the Taliban has gained ground in recent months, but, absent a full and immediate withdrawal of U.S. troops, it cannot retake sovereign control. This is not to say that Afghanistan isn’t unstable; it clearly is. That has been the case for eight years, however, and, in the absence of some shocking, unforeseen development, it could be true for another eight or 18 or 80 years. An increase of tens of thousands of troops will not change that fact, nor will subtle tactical changes. Rather than teetering on the edge of some imagined precipice, the situation in Afghanistan is at a virtual stalemate.

But that would not make McChrystal a hero, would it? Or gin up a big old right-left battle at home. Yglesias joins the fray. The debate reminds me of this from Flarfblog:

Q: Is the Taliban a threat?
A: Of course. The Taliban is an ongoing threat to our ongoing mission to eliminate the Taliban.
Q: And if we fail to eliminate the Taliban?
A: We cannot fail to eliminate the Taliban, as long as the Taliban continues to provide safe havens and training grounds for the Taliban.
Q: And the Taliban, of course, offers aid and comfort to the ever-dangerous Taliban.
A: Such is the deadly circle of terror.