The View From Your Recession: Checking Back In

We thought it might be a useful way to check in anecdotally with the impact of the recession if we went back and emailed various readers who sent in their personal "views from the recession" this past year. Here's an update from the ten-year veteran of TV scriptwriting who was considering a jump to law school because of the industry's bleak environment. His friend was laid off in the writers' strike and hadn't been able to find work for over a year, so he was close to offering his friend temporary quarters with him and his girlfriend. The original post is here. The reader writes:

I began searching for work in the legal field in earnest to get away from my demanding job and my abusive boss. After things deteriorated with my boss and he started to insult me on a nearly daily basis I decided to dedicate myself to studying for the LSAT full time. Luckily I was able to arrange being laid off so I was able to collect unemployment. On my last day my boss called me a "fucking moron" for an obviously innocent (and small) mistake. Unable to say anything back and put my unemployment at risk I bit my tongue and pressed on to bigger and hopefully better things. Scared as heck that I was now unemployed in a worsening job market, I pressed on and spent 6 hours a day studying for the LSAT for the next three months, got my results and have now applied to a lot of law schools.

I also proposed to my girlfriend and have begun a lot of big picture planning for our lives together. It's disorienting, even as a 30-something to be making choices that will affect your life for literally decades.

Maybe i'm just a kid at heart but I feel these decisions are so big they can't possibly be mine to make. In the next 8 months we will plan, pay for and execute a wedding, sell our condo, buy two new cars, move, I'll start law school and my fiancee will start a new job. Stress isn't so much an occurrence as it is our environment.

Further complicating matters is the fact that I will be taking on six figures of debt and graduating into an unknowable job market as an older first year lawyer.

 It's no small stress that I may be in a worse position in 4 years than I am currently (and as many a law advisor has told me, the legal job market is "in flux"). My only counter-move to this has been to strongly consider doing a dual degree JD/MBA program in the hopes that the extra year of schooling will help my marketability (at the cost of another year out of the job market as well as adding to the pile of debt). After the holidays if I can scrape enough money together I plan on trying to learn a foreign language (something that's been very difficult with my dyslexia) in the hopes that that too will help my marketability when i enter the job market. We'll see if there is a happy ending here. I plan on being a dedicated husband and a good provider. I just hope that my current all-in bet isn't something that we'll regret for a long long time. Knowing that money is the number one stress for relationships it's hard not to feel that the bet on law school isn't more than just a bet on a career path.

As for my friend, the job market never seemed to turn around for him. He attempted to transition into a career with solar energy companies but the work just wasn't there yet (and he had no experience). Things got progressively worse and he ended up not moving in with me. Instead he sold a lot of his possessions, elected to return to the mid-west and move in with his parents. I know this isn't the end of his story and I hope that he'll be able to get everything together for himself and attack life and the job market again after some time to reflect and collect himself. As someone who's had to move in with his parents after he'd long since considered himself established I know how difficult living with your parents can be on your sense of pride and purpose. I hope that in his private moments he sees the hope and possibility that still exists for him and he doesn't allow his current situation to erode his pride and fervor that he attacks life with.

Sadly he is not the only close friend who is going through a difficult time right now. The best news I've heard any of my friends getting in the past 6 months was a friend of mine with two children under the age of 3, a hefty mortgage and a stay at home wife who was laid off unexpectedly from his law firm 4 months ago who just found work this past week. The news made me so happy I teared up. I haven't been that happy (aside from my engagement) in a long time.

What Krugman Cannot Say

Well, he can say it but he has to withdraw it. Here's an odd sentence from the NYT's op-edder today:

Management wants me to make it clear that in my last column I wasn’t endorsing inappropriate threats against Mr. Lieberman.

Here's presumably what he's referring to:

A message to progressives: By all means, hang Senator Joe Lieberman in effigy.

There is no "inappropriate threat" to Lieberman the person here. Just an endorsement, self-consciously hyperbolic, of attacking his public image. Did Lieberman complain?

Fact-Checking Going Rogue Update

It is indeed hard to fact-check a work of fiction, but since the McCain campaign never vetted her and Harper Collins never edited her, someone's gotta do it:

Former Gov. Sarah Palin, who has had a rocky relationship with the state's capital city, says in her book there were some ugly threats made against her daughters while they were attending Juneau schools. Those threats reportedly caused daughter Willow Palin to be removed from the Juneau School District…

So let's check in with reality, shall we?

Former Juneau School District Superintendent Peggy Cowan was superintendent during the period in question and said she never heard of such concerns.

"That was never reported to my office," she said. "I am completely confident that I never heard that."

Cowan was contacted in Barrow, where she is now the superintendent at the North Slope Borough School District.

Had a report been made to Juneau schools, Cowan said she would have worked with the principals at the schools to determine how seriously the threats should be taken and how to ensure the safety of the children.

Juneau Police Chief Greg Browning similarly said his department has no record of ever being alerted to such threats.

His department's school resource officers are in Juneau schools daily, and would likely have been alerted to such threats, had they been made, he said.

The Alaska State Troopers provide a security detail for Palin, but trooper spokeswoman Megan Peters said the first they heard about the allegation was from Palin's book.

Depressing Christmas Songs, Ctd

A reader writes:

Okay, for sheer yule pathos it’s hard to deny this little chestnut a place on your mantle of Christmas depression. Judy Garland singing “After the Holidays” on the Tonight Show with Johnny Carson. Watching this force of nature near her booze-soaked end pleading to an imaginary lover who’s about to bolt is a bummer on so many levels. The weepy piano tinkling at 1:58 with Judy mock reflecting on Christmases past make this the perfect viewing companion to your fourth straight-up glass of Christmas cheer in an empty room poorly illuminated by a dehydrated tree covered in lights you got at WalMart.

Supergay too. Sometimes I suspect Christmas is really a plot to advance the supergay. The kitsch, the artifice, the collective lie of good will, the power of superficiality, the naked materialism: it’s all some super-ironic super-gay joke on all of us, right? Just don’t tell Bill O’Reilly.

The Cost Of Universal Coverage

An interesting point from Krugman:

Take the CBO estimate of the cost of subsidies and Medicaid expansion in the Senate bill — that is, ignoring all possible cost savings. It’s $179 billion in 2018. Take the CMS projection of total health care spending in 2018: it’s more than $4.5 trillion. So the direct cost of expanding coverage — the initial bump in the blue curve above — is less than 4 percent of total health care spending. That’s the amount by which, on the current trajectory, health spending rises every 7 months.

And it's budgeted. Any Republican who voted for the unfunded Medicare Prescription Drug Entitlement has no logical standing to oppose this bill on fiscal grounds.

Quote For The Day

"With Gareth coming out publicly and our divorce being finalized in the New Year, I feel a chapter is closing and, although I feel sad and wish it could be different, it's for the best. This is who Gareth is and it is something which cannot be changed, but it has been so hard coming to terms with that…  He will always love me, but he cannot turn himself into a heterosexual. If he could, I would still be married to him. We will always be the best of friends and I couldn't feel prouder of him than I do now," – Jenna Thomas, former wife of Gareth Thomas, the Welsh rugby player who came out last week.

In 2005, Thomas captained Wales to their first Grand Slam victory since 1978 and was capped 100 times for his nation – more than any other Welshman in a country where rugby is a civil religion.

Conservatism And The 1990s

It's a revealing divide in a way: which conservatives loved the 1990s and which ones found them faintly bathetic? Here's Charles Krauthammer in a semi-nostalgic column:

Throughout the decade, and most especially as it began to wane, I returned to this theme of the wondrous oddity, the sheer impossibility of an age of such post-historical tranquility.

And inevitable ennui. So profound was that tranquility, so trivial the history of that time, that my colleague George Will and I would muse that if this kept up — an era whose dominant issue was a president's zipper problem — he might as well go back to the academy and I to psychiatry.

And that would be a bad thing because … ? There's always a paradox in professional conservatives lamenting happy times, because it both encourages less government and increases their irrelevance as public commentators. But there's a strain in some neoconservatism that can sometimes appear actually hostile to tranquillity because it is seen as a cause of what Krauthammer calls ennui, of boredom, of decadence. "Trivial history" is another term, in some ways, for peace and prosperity, in which our private lives take center stage and the tedium of politics, folly of war, and grinding millstone of poverty are kept at bay.

For my part, the 1990s were a wonderful and largely conservative achievement. I too had a political magazine to fill, but found the changing culture as fascinating as the somewhat restrained politics. This was the era, after all, of OJ Simpson and Afro-centrism, of the explosion of the gay rights movement and the evolution of feminism, of the assault on p.c. and the innovation of the Internet, of the pharmaceutical revolution and Russian …. democracy! Clinton, while a dreadful human being, was a perfectly fine, moderately conservative president. The sex and the lying were just humanly fascinating – as was the socially conservative over-reaction.

A society able to devote itself to the core question of perjury in a civil suit and to enjoy Seinfeld and the Simpsons: isn't that kind of era what conservatives really want?

Not all of them, I found out. For those conservatives deeply troubled by modernity and its pleasures, for those who see war and conflict as key motivators for civic virtue, a society pretty happy with itself, and a government actually running a surplus with no wars, is a problem. It saps "national greatness". Bush openly called for a great theme for a great moment. The tragedy of history was that he was granted his wish.

There are conservatives who are always girded for war or suspect all peace as some kind of hidden war; and those who are happy at peace, grateful for its blessings and hopeful that it will last. There are those who always see Hobbes and those who see Hobbes but are grateful for Locke. There are those who see human conduct at its height as being engaged in virtuous battle for a righteous republic. And there are those who like snow-boarding. These two groups of conservatives have very different pedigrees and philosophical mentors. In the 1990s, the distinction between the two was masked.

It is masked no more.