David Frum believes that “the case for conservative reform, however jeered at on Election Night, will emerge stronger and more urgent from the November vote”:
Between 2001 and 2007, Republicans gained something they had not had for any comparable length of time since the 1920s: the presidency, plus majorities in both houses of Congress. The results? Not so good. … Winning elections is great, but it’s not an end in and of itself. An election is only a means to an end: governing is the end, governing in ways that benefit the large preponderance of the people, not just a select few.
If you have some governing responsibility in an era of economic crisis (like a House majority), a refusal to offer any constructive policies will hurt you. My one simple hope if we get gridlock is that we can get a grand compromise on the long-term debt. We need some tax hikes, big entitlement cuts – more than the Medicare trims and bend-the-cost-curve hopes of health insurance reform – and defense cuts. Nothing else does the math. In an adult polity, this shoud be discussed, with both parties finding a way to come to the center – as Reagan did with Democrats on tax reform in 1986 and as Clinton did with welfare reform in 1996. It was win-win both times, for both parties and the country. It can and should happen again on the long-term debt.
Perhaps the way forward is a combination of tax reform/simplification and spending cuts/extension of the retirement age. My view is that the American middle will reward those capable of compromise on this. And my suspicion is that this gives the pragmatic president a core advantage over a more ideological opposition. But it also seems to me to represent an opening for a saner Republican, like Mitch Daniels or even a pragmatic version of Paul Ryan. If the Republicans refuse to raise any taxes, they’re unserious about the debt. If the Dems won’t tackle entitlements more than they have, ditto.