Palin’s Strategy?

A reader writes:

Here's what you don't get about Palin. It's not just you either: this is making me crazy because it seems so blindingly obvious. Palin will run if she thinks Obama is vulnerable in 2012. It's not 2012 yet so she doesn't know. If she decides to run, she'll clean everyone else's clock. You can just put all those polls away.

If Obama looks like a shoo-in for reelection (as is likely), Palin will sit it out and let everyone talk about how she's "over" and then she'll keep a low but present profile for four years and then she'll jump in. She's not going to run and lose. That's not in her DNA.

The only problem with this scenario – apart from the idea that Palin has anything in her head that resembles strategy – is that the minute she says she's not running, the media klieg-lights whence she derives her political oxygen shut down. She becomes an embarrassment neither the GOP nor the MSM want to revisit. She really is over. And by 2016, if Obama is re-elected, I bet you the front-runners are going to be in the center, not the fringe. This is Palin's last and only chance. Somewhere, she senses it.