Where The Race Stands

Gallup's latest:

Gallup_Republicans_May

So Huckabee's withdrawal has largely benefited Palin. Weigel is shocked by Herman Cain's numbers:

Cain has come out of the gate making knowledge blunders (not knowing what the "right of return" is, for example), getting generally dismissive coverage. There is no team of reporters covering his every move on the trail, as there is for Huntsman. There's no massive scrum outside his appearances, as there is for Pawlenty. And yet he's outpolling Pawlenty.

Weigel can't quite cop to the fact that he has misread Palin's strength. This poll, moreover, was conducted before yesterday's flurry of signs that Palin is actually running. Notice that Palin has three times Bachmann's support and is within the margin of error next to the front-runner.

In this poll, it's a Palin-Romney race. Which would make the primary battle a struggle between the clueless and the shameless.