Will She, Won’t She?

Lawrence O'Donnell makes an impassioned case that Palin won't run (and sets himself up for a Von Hoffmann award):

A reader summarizes:

O’Donnell's segment really changed my mind about Sarah Palin and whether or not she’s running.  Lawrence has an odd speech pattern and he was hard to listen to but I listened to the whole thing and by the end I am absolutely certain she is NOT running. In a nutshell:

1.  The “re-hires” are not people who run campaigns, they are assistant types. The kind that are particularly useful when you have a speaking circuit job, not a campaign.

2.  The moment she is confirmed to be not running, her speaking fees will drop considerably.

3.  The movie is opening in Iowa so that she can stoke the speculation and thus increase her fees and attention.

4.  Fox News did not cancel her contract. Just like Huckabee, unlike Santorum. This alone tells you all you need to know!

Another writes:

A CNN poll out Friday has Giuliani leading among likely or possible Republican contenders. Just like Donald Trump, it's an indication that Republican primary voters want anyone but Romney AND Palin.  How can the most recent VP nominee have so little support is the question that should be asked. 

Compare Palin and Romney to Clinton and Obama.  Their support wasn't transferable to other candidates.  Staunch Obama and Clinton supporters of course would vote for the eventual nominee but their support among their core supporters in the primaries was bedrock.  Where is that kind of support for Palin?  Her so-called loyal supporters have shown to be willing to dump her for Trump, Herman Cain, Huckabee and now Giuliani. 

These Tea Party folks are not devoted to Palin; they are devoted to hatred and defeat of Obama.  Please stop comparing Palin now to Obama in 2007.  Voters didn't know Obama, but the more they got to know, the more they liked.  Palin has been the opposite; the more voters have gotten to know her the more they dislike.  That's a fact you can't seem to accept.

Some varied Palin speculation from readers:

Regarding "Palin's Bus Tour Ad" and your introductory comment ("Does this sound like someone not running?"), have you considered that what she is really doing is establishing her residency to run for McCain's Senate seat?

Another:

The bus tour, the movie release, the multi-million dollar home purchase in Arizona … such big news!  The timing of which has NOTHING at all to do with the barely-tweeted, bizarrely-timed, midweek, jeans-clad wedding of the eldest Palin child.

And finally, a dissent:

I think you've earned a Moore Award for overheated rhetoric with your comparison of Palin's "Undefeated" to "Triumph of the Will." Or maybe just a Godwin award. Anyway, I don't see how it's particularly useful to compare some trash that Sarah Palin made to the seminal Nazi propaganda film.

It was meant to be a joke.