56 – 38

Obama's approval rating just jumped ten points.

Perhaps more critically, the wrong track-right track deficit has gone from a 51 percent advantage for the wrong track to 28. I'd say that the odds of his re-election have clearly gone up, which means the same for the odds of a Grand Bargain before the next election on the debt. But I'm not hallucinating. These ratings will fade and the GOP remains fixated on no tax increases.

The View From Your Window Contest: Winner #48

Vfyw-contest_4-30

A reader writes:

Sometimes it snows in April, as Prince sang.

Looks like a small- to medium-sized city in the upper Midwest (minivans, gently sloping streets, late Victorian buildings, possibly a grain elevator on the horizon) where there was a big snow event on the weekend of April 16-17. I’m guessing it’s Wisconsin or Michigan because I got snow here in Minnesota on the 16th and the storm moved on by the 17th. Green Bay, Wisconsin?

Another writes:

This looks like my hometown of Buffalo, NY. I haven’t the inclination to zoom in, check out the license plates or try to find that distinctive building on the right, but the tree looks right, the sky looks right, and it feels like home. And I remember my mother complaining about it snowing a couple of weeks ago.

Another:

When I saw this week’s photo with the date “April 17,” I immediately thought, “That was OUR Viewer weather on April 17!” I live in State College, PA, so I started looking close by. I checked out Altoona but couldn’t find anything close, then googled church steeples in Pittsburgh. I believe I’ve found the church spire in the photo, even with a similar building in the distance: St. John Vianney in Pittsburgh. It is on Climax Street, near Allen Street. Unfortunately, I could not find a neighboring street that had the right configuration of traffic lights, parking lots, and buildings.

Another:

I know from talking to my family back home that Michigan got a pretty heavy mid-April snow. And I see a Cadillac, some Fords, and maybe a Dodge in the back of the parking lot; that high a ratio of American-made cars screams Michigan. That strange building looks vaguely ski-lodge-like, so probably in the northern part of the lower peninsula. Maybe near Nub’s Nob in Harbor Springs?

Another:

This is looking west on Third Avenue in downtown Spokane, Washington. And yes, the weather has been this crappy until recently.  If you were going to choose the most unflattering photo of our little gem of a city one could find, you could have done no better. Ugh. But thanks for the international exposure.

Another:

This looks like the easiest VFYW ever, but after 4 hours, I still have no idea.

Cue Dish follower who lives next door, got married in the Episcopal Church, used to skate in that hockey arena, and painted those signal poles yellow.

Another:

I won’t be able to guess the exact location, being sidetracked by OBL’s killing, but I’ll give the general location. I spent some time in the transportation industry and one thing I learned is that states usually put their own unique details on traffic control devices, so I bypassed some other clues to hone in on the traffic signals.  The yellow poles and yellow mast arms are found in North Dakota, Fargo in particular. So I say Fargo.

Close. Another:

Something about that picture caught my eye, then I looked closer and realized it’s my former home town – Minot, North Dakota.

A few dozen readers correctly guessed Minot. One writes:

Oh it’s a beautiful day here in the Upper Midwest. The beautiful April snowfall, block streets and Wells Fargo Bank sign are all important clues.  At first I thought this might be Minnesota or perhaps Wisconsin. The key of course is the “Main Medical” sign. A few google searches brought me to the Emergency/Trauma facility at Trinity Hospital, which is kitty-corner from the “Main Medical Building” at 315 S. Main Street in Minot.  And this is exactly why Google Street View was developed!

Another:

Woo-hoo. Got my first one! This was taken from Trinity Hospital, One West Burdick Expressway, Minot, North Dakota, USA:

Ratliff1-043011

The intersection pictured is Burdick Expressway and South Main Street. I don’t know the precise hospital room window from which the photo was taken, but I guess that it was from the top floor.

Another:

The VFYW contest gets me through most Saturday nights when I pull the night shift with our newborn daughter. This week was a winner. As a civil engineer, I was most caught by the yellow mast arms for the traffic lights. North Dakota DOT mandates that all mast arms be yellow, which then only left a couple cities. Then I narrowed it down to Minot and the hospital from which the photo was taken.  I can’t help but think that the snow on such a late day in 2011 hopefully brought a smile to the patient or family member of the patient in that room.

Our daughter’s nursery is travel themed and stocked with books of all the places we hope she’ll see. A VFYW book would be a great addition!

Another:

I wouldn’t even have known how to start without the date and the weather.  That led me to this weather map:

Screen shot 2011-05-03 at 11.46.31 AM

Among Wyoming, northern Montana, North Dakota, and the UP, I went with North Dakota because of the flatness and because I could just barely see a grain elevator in the background.  I felt like I was on the right track after seeing the bright yellow traffic light poles in various towns in the state.  This is the first time I’ve even taken a stab at one of these (long-time reader, first-time window-guesser!), and I have never spent so much time on Google Maps in my life.

Another sends an screenshot from Google Maps:

Image

Another:

I’m a first-timer. I’ve never been there and have no connection whatever to the place. I guessed it was somewhere in the U.S., a not very large town far enough west for a Wells Fargo and far enough north for a spruce tree, pretty flat and pretty windy, since there are few other trees. I thought the date was a good clue, but it snowed all over the country on that day, so it was kind of a dead-end for me.

At first I zoomed in on Fargo, which has the right kind of yellow street-signal posts, but it’s too big of a town. Figuring I was in the right state, I looked for other ND towns with a Wells Fargo downtown. I picked Minot for no reason, but once I saw the vertical stripes on the Wells Fargo building in Google Street View, I knew I found it. I hunted around for the building with the MM logo, which is the Main Medical building. The hospital is on the other corner. The big house-looking building across the street is a funeral home: a little too convenient.

Another:

View From Your Window - Minot Wells Fargo

The white building in the background on the left-hand side is recognizable as a Wells Fargo branch, because of their trademark red background and yellow letters on the bank’s logo. From there, I was able to narrow down my search to North Dakota branches of Wells Fargo, who has a distinctively strong presence in various small cities’ skylines from Lubbock to Lincoln. Once I was able to nail down the Minot branch (photo attached), I took a stroll down Main St via Google StreetView and imediately recognized the Main Medical Building on the lower right corner of the contest picture.

Another:

I must have looked at 500 different steeples in MN, WI, IA, and God knows however many other Upper Midwestern states, but I finally decided to search for <<“main medical” downtown former building theater>>.  Lo and behold, an article in the Minot Daily News came up, and a quick street view revealed good ol’ Minot has those yellow traffic light poles.  So I did a search of “cathedrals” nearby Minot. BANG – there are my four white little fellows atop Saint Leo’s Catholic Church.

Here’s a very similar photo circa 1994 from the aforementioned news article. Looks like it was taken from a couple windows down toward the intersection:

Minot 2

Another:

Unfortunately, I don’t have an interesting story about Minot or Trinity Hospital, and can’t say I’ve been there, but Quentin Burdick was the first Democrat elected to Congress from North Dakota and Minot’s nickname is “The Magic City.”

Among the dozens of correct guessers this week, only two have guessed challenging views in the past without winning. To break the tie, we’re going to award the prize to the reader who has participated in every window contest to date. He writes:

I have to say, I had an odd route to finding this spot, and it was a miracle that I homed in on it so quickly. I was searching for Swiss-style funeral homes, then Lutheran funeral homes, which got me to Minot. A random photo of downtown Minot showed the same yellow traffic lights and similar buildings. From there, Google Maps dropped me right in front of the medical center.

No, I won’t calculate which window of the Trauma Center we’re in, nor where in the room the photographer had to be standing, because I already did that for Duluth, placing the photographer’s exact location in 3-dimensional space to within a couple feet, and it didn’t do me any good. So no more geometric Visio diagrams for you until I win a book, buddy!

It’s on its way.

(Archive)

Not Just The President Who Killed Bin Laden

P050111PS-0522

Juan Cole envisions the next steps:

If Obama can get us out of Iraq, and if he can use his good offices to keep the pressure on the Egyptian military to lighten up, and if he can support the likely UN declaration of a Palestinian state in September, the US will be in the most favorable position in the Arab world it has had since 1956. And he would go down in history as one of the great presidents.

If he tries to stay in Iraq and he takes a stand against Palestine, he risks provoking further anti-American violence. He can be not just the president who killed Bin Laden, but the president who killed the pretexts for radical violence against the US. He can promote the waving of the American flag in major Arab cities. And that would be a defeat and humiliation for Bin Laden and Al-Qaeda more profound than any they could have dreamed.

(Photo: President Barack Obama listens during one in a series of meetings discussing the mission against Osama bin Laden, in the Situation Room of the White House, May 1, 2011. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza.)

The Promise Of Egypt

Egypt is planning to relax its border with Gaza. Freddie deBoer is psyched:

Israel has been, for over forty years, perpetuating one of the great humanitarian and democratic crises in the world; amid all of this talk of the democratization of the Arab world, precious little has pointed out that the United States is the major (and moving towards sole) underwriter of an Israeli regime that keeps millions of Palestinian Arabs in a state of permanent dispossession. If the greater Middle East is indeed being swept up in a new spirit of freedom, Israel will find its position more and more uncomfortable.

I pray that this new geopolitical situation in the Middle East never results in military action against Israel. But if they are truly surrounded by a newly empowered and engaged Arab people, Israel will come to find their position untenable, as well they should. Because the status quo for the Palestinian people is indefensible.

The Israelis have long thought that time was on their side. Au contraire.

The Smallness Of Bin Laden

A reader writes:

With all due respect to Hitchens, his question – "Has there ever been a more contemptible leader from behind, or a commander who authorized more blanket death sentences on bystanders?" – is easily answered. Stalin comes to mind.

In the end, what is true about Bin Laden is not the vastness of his vision nor the horror of his occasional strategic successes, it is the smallness of the man. He lit fires in small minds. He inhabited a small world. His global vision was to propagate that small world and impose it on all. Rather than a grandiose visionary, he was a small man with a small plan. He was relentless but, ultimately, the smallness of his vision relegates him to history's waste bin.

Learning From Lynch And Tillman

A reader writes:

I share most of your feelings about the death of Osama bin Laden.  But I wonder if your tarring of skeptics ("The Birth of Deatherism", "DNA Truthers") ignores examples of government misinformation in the recent past.  I'll give you two names: Jessica Lynch and Pat Tillman.  In both of these cases, a covert operation and the death of a prominent figure, the government deliberately distorted the facts and misled the public.  I think situations like this can arouse a mistrust of government that in many ways is justified.

Agreed. Some skepticism remains necessary and we won't discover all the facts for a while. Another writes:

I don't want to venture into tinfoil hat territory, but please keep some skepticism. Specifically, the story of Osama using his wife as a human shield is rather tidy. And the helicopter that crashed due to mechanical failure – that's what you would expect them to say if it was shot down. Of course, I don't know if these stories are true or false. I'm just suggesting you consider what fraction of the statements regarding Pat Tillman were true, and assume that ratio still holds.

Indeed, the White House is now saying that bin Laden's wife wasn't killed or used as a shield after all.

Moore Award Nominee

"The monster we created-yes, WE-in the 1980s by ARMING, FUNDING, &TRAINING him in the art of terror agnst the USSR, finally had 2 b put down. … Which reporter has the courage to say it? "American-armed terrorist from the 80s, Osama bin Laden, was killed earlier today by America," – Michael Moore.