The Reality We Face, Ctd

McArdle rejects Obama's claim that Bush was responsible for our debt troubles. Chait's riposte is, well, devastating:

What changed about the Bush policies that made them more expensive when Obama  took office? What changed is that the economy underwent its deepest crisis since the Great Depression.

Bush inherited a budget that was structurally balanced, which became  a large surplus at the peak of the business cycle. His policies turned it into a budget that was structurally in deficit even at the peak of the business cycle. And then when the economy collapsed, those structural deficits became massive. McArdle is implying, without quite openly arguing, that presidents should be judged on the deficits that occur under their watch, not on whether their policies increase or decrease the deficit. This ignores the reality that the business cycle plays a huge role in year-to-year deficits.

This is particularly smart:

Take George H.W. Bush. His policies significantly reduced the deficit. But the deficit ran at extraordinarily high levels under his presidency, and McArdle's data would suggest he was a massively irresponsible president. In reality, what happened is that he presided over a recession and the necessary bailout from the Savings and Loan crisis, which bloated the deficit despite his (eventually successful) efforts to tame it.

It took Megan a couple of years to pursue this meme. Glenn Reynolds was doing it from Day One.