by Patrick Appel
Despite what Lichtman's electoral model predicts, Obama's re-election is anything but a sure thing. Tom Jensen's latest numbers reflect that:
I wrote a blog post last week about how Democratic enthusiasm was at a year long low. Now it's at a lower year long low with only 47% of the party's voters 'very excited' about voting this year compared to 58% of Republicans.
Bernstein doesn't put much stock in Lichtman's system. McArdle, meanwhile, applies the model to Hoover.
The Dish 