by Patrick Appel
Nate Silver counters Lichtman:
[O]nly 2 of Mr. Lichtman’s 13 keys pertain to the economy, or 15 percent. … But chances are the economy is going to be much more important than that: my research suggests that it accounts for about half of a voter’s decision. If the economic factors are bad for Mr. Obama, and noneconomic factors are basically good for him, that’s why the election figures to be on the razor’s edge.
Earlier pushback here.
The Dish 