A reader writes:
Obama was a storytelling candidate. He promised us two things: a new voice and perspective that understood the deep, structural and interconnected problems facing the United States as of 2008, and an approach to solving them that would free us from the zero-sum, Baby Boomer-driven politics of the previous two decades (and arguably much longer than that). You wrote magnificently about both, and bought into Obama's potential as a transcendent figure ("Goodbye to All That") sooner and more deeply than anyone.
But you have to face it, Andrew: it hasn't happened.
What you (and I) thought was a phenomenon mostly inherent/related to the Clintons and Bushes is structural; it has far more to do with the closed informational loop on the Right and the Aileses and Kristols and Norquists and Limbaughs guarding the door… guys who sure as hell weren't going to let Obama in, no matter how even-keeled his temperament or how many nice things he said about Reagan. And to their credit, they signaled this from Day One: they meant to resist and destroy this president. They denied his democratic legitimacy–as they do any and every Democrat's. You know this.
In the face of this dynamic, Obama had a choice. He could either draw the lines between his vision and theirs, make the case clearly and repeatedly that his policies were designed to lift us out of the muck the Republicans had left us in, and send the message that government was not only not "the problem" but, when managed with competence and modesty, could defend the vulnerabilities and advance the interests of middle- and working-class Americans. Or he could persist in his pose as the man above it all, the only adult in the room.
He chose door number two, and the results are that his (real) accomplishments go unappreciated if not unnoticed; his heretofore most dedicated supporters start to wonder why they should bother fighting for a leader who seems so disinclined to fight for them; his opponents go from fight to fight in ever-greater confidence that they can roll him; and those who don't pay as much attention just think he's weak.
I desperately hope I'm wrong about this, but I think in a year you'll see it clearly–when Obama runs for re-election using the Bush 2004 playbook in reverse, seeking a second term not on his record or his forward vision but by trying to scare the country away from whatever Republican ultimately runs against him. This is valid enough–they are a terrifying bunch–but it's never particularly satisfying to vote your fears, particularly when four years ago the same candidate spoke so eloquently to our highest hopes.
Here's why I don't buy this. First, it is not in Obama's character and the Angry Black Man dynamic it ould have entailed would have been brutal on him. I think they've tried to goad him in order to provoke exactly this response that would give them a natural, racist advantage. His refusal to take the bait means an awful amount of disappointment in his base, but is, I think, the least worst tactic given his race and personality.
Secondly, if you want to change that hideous dynamic, rooted in the 1960s culture war, you don't repeat it. You defeat it by consistent, relentless reason. Obama will be a transformative president only if he pulls this off, because he will have transformed our political culture for the better. As for his re-election campaign, just watch. The man has a long record of George HW Bush competence and quiet governance, but unlike GHWB, he can also unleash rhetoric that obliterates his opponents. Imagine a debate between him and Perry. Christianist swagger vs Christian calm. This is not weakness. It is a deeper form of strength.