The Obamacare Blame Game

Austin Frakt makes a series of predictions:

My bet: in hindsight, either side will be able to claim they were right. If health reform is fully implemented, health care spending will still rise more quickly than inflation, the economy, or wages. That won’t necessarily be due to the law–it was expected to rise at least that rapidly anyway–but that won’t stop people from claiming it is. And, if health reform is repealed, health care spending will just as surely rise at a rate faster than inflation, the economy, or wages. We won’t know for sure whether it would have really risen more slowly with reform, but that won’t stop people from claiming that it would have.