Brad Scharlot has an epiphany.
Month: October 2011
Russia And China Bolster Assad
By vetoing a U.N. Security Council resolution condemning the crackdown. Paul Pillar thinks some blame rests with the West:
Even if a NATO military intervention in Syria is unlikely, a similar bait-and-switch seems in the making with sanctions. The vetoed resolution hints at sanctions if the Syrian regime does not change its behavior, but Western leaders (including President Obama, after much hullaballoo on this subject in Washington) are talking about changing the regime, not just changing behavior. So the failure this week at the Security Council is partly a price Western governments are paying for two mistakes. One is a disingenuous resolution (and equally disingenuous rhetoric) about their intentions in Libya, and another is confusion about the purpose of sanctions (a topic I have addressed previously, with reference not only to Syria but to other target countries such as Iran).
Dan Drezner reminds us that, until recently, Syria was sanctioning itself:
Although the Assad regime has essentially declared war on much the Syrian population, there is one coveted demographic that they have yet to alienate — the business elites in Aleppo and Damascus. By and large the anti-Assad movement has yet to penetrate Syria's two largest cities. If sanctions could be designed to target those sectors of the population in particular, then the Syrian regime might feel its "selectorate" slipping away, undermining the regime even further. As it turns out, these kind of sanctions were imposed on Syria for a short spell. What's surprising is that it was the Syrian government that imposed them.
Mark Katz demands war rather than sanctions. Joe Lieberman is, unsurprisingly, the first senator to publicly concur, reminding one of this.
Quote For The Day IV
"Mere unthinking negative opposition to the current of events, clutching in despair at what we still retain, will not suffice in this age. A conservatism of instinct must be reinforced by a conservatism of thought and imagination," – Russell Kirk, "The Essence of Conservatism."
You Got Your Sperm Where?
No, not an autobiography, an alternative to sperm banks:
[T]he couple balked at the prices—at least $2,000 for the sperm alone—and the fact that most donors were anonymous; they wanted their child to have the option to one day know his or her father. So in the summer of 2010, at home with their two dogs and three cats, Beth and Nicole typed these words into a search engine: “free sperm donor.”
A few clicks later, the couple slid into an online underground, a mishmash of personal ads, open forums, and members-only websites for women seeking sperm—and men giving it away. Most donors pledge to verify their health and relinquish parental rights, much like regular sperm-bank donors. But unlike their mainstream counterparts, these men don’t get paid. They’re also willing to reveal their identities and allow any future offspring to contact them. Many of the men say they do it out of altruism, but some also talk unabashedly of kinky sex and spreading their gene pool.
J. Bryan Lowder fears these donors could get stuck with child support payments.
Slashing Foreign Aid (But Not For Israel)

Joshua Goldstein is outraged by the proposed cuts:
These cuts are founded on three pillars of ignorance — misunderstanding of the amount of money, misunderstanding of the effects of the spending, and misunderstanding about the extent of poverty in the world and its impact.
Walter Russell Mead blames a disconnect between the public and policy elite. When you need to cut spending as deeply as we do, I truly don't see a problem in gutting foreign aid. It won't solve the problem; but it helps a teensy bit.
(Chart via Ezra.)
Von Hoffmann Award Nominees
"Sure, all things being equal, a president would rather have his allies firmly in control than not. But recent presidents have had more success when forced to work with slim majorities in Congress, or even none at all." – Matt Bai, 1/7/10.
"Under those conditions, the only way to achieve sustainable bipartisanship is to divide control of the government, forcing the parties to negotiate in order to get anything done. That pulls policy toward the center, which encourages reasonableness." – Jonathan Rauch, 3/25/10.
Collected by John Sides, who made the right call.
The American Settler Mindset

Mitchell Plitnick diagnoses it:
Sometimes, Americans follow Israel’s lead. Sometimes we don’t. It’s part of a dynamic many Israeli friends of mine, across the political spectrum, have expressed exasperation about: Americans being more “Israeli” than Israelis. It’s a grossly fetishistic exercise, one that says more about projecting American religious-political desires onto Israelis, than it does, necessarily, about what Israelis might want and think, by themselves.
It is, from an outsider's perspective, a strange phenomenon. It took a while in America for me to grasp why the media and political world was fixated on a tiny country with almost 8 million people. No conspiracy – just a fervent ethnic and religious solidarity that sometimes borders on self-parody. The US Congress is integral to this lop-sided near-fusion of the US and an increasingly problematic ally in a fast-changing region. Plitnick notes the following from the NYT:
The Republicans also attach conditions on aid to Pakistan, Egypt and the Palestinians, suspending the latter entirely if the Palestinians succeed in winning recognition of statehood at the United Nations. However, one of the largest portions of foreign aid — more than $3 billion for Israel — is left untouched in both the House and Senate versions, showing that, even in times of austerity, some spending is inviolable.
You can slash Medicare but not $3 billion in aid to a wealthy ally. Plitnick calls it like it is:
Does anyone believe that most Americans think that the country that is always near the top of the list of recipients of US foreign aid, year after year, which is a regional superpower, has a Western standard of living, which is among the countries least affected by the global downturn, should get the lion’s share of American aid money? What about other deserving countries, in worse economic circumstances than Israel? What about unemployed Americans losing their social assistance benefits?
I can’t imagine that most Americans, Republican, Democrat or self-identified independents, would support such an idea. But … we now have a Congress that, due to political opportunism, shows more loyalty to the Israeli right than to the United States.
I think that is now indisputable. Just as indisputable as the Greater Israel lobby's success in protecting its accelerating colonization of the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Unless we can resolve this issue, America's influence in the Middle East and beyond will suffer irreparable damage.
(Photo: U.S. conservative broadcaster Glenn Beck hosts a rally near the Western Wall, on August 24, 2011 in Jerusalem's Old City, Israel. The event, under the slogan 'Restoring Courage', was attended by hundreds of his evangelical Christian supporters, whilst many who oppose his right-wing views protested outside. By Uriel Sinai/Getty Images.)
Who Is Behind Occupy Wall Street? Ctd
A reader writes:
Over the last few days you’ve been posting a fair number of emails from people with opinions about the Occupy Wall Street protests, but nothing, so far as I can tell, from anyone who has been spending actual time there. I’m not any kind of authority, but I’ve been going down to Zucotti Park on lunch breaks and after work and during the evenings, whenever I can, and I wanted to respond to your reader who thinks the whole thing is a culture-jamming prank orchestrated by AdBusters.
First: yes, the idea came from AdBusters, but nobody who had actually been to Zucotti Park could ever think that AdBusters is orchestrating anything. This protest is being run by the people who are there. Its concerns emerge organically from those who participate at its general assembly, and as the protest has grown and grown—remember your reader who said this would all be forgotten in two weeks?—they’ve been taking more advice and assistance from experienced organizers. AdBusters hasn’t put its name on anything: no signs, no “brought to you by” messages, no nothing. If a reader wants to be enraged by a particular magazine, that’s his or her choice, but just because you’ve seen a few issues of a magazine doesn’t mean you get to pretend like you know what’s going on in lower Manhattan.
Second: the idea that nobody knows that these people are protesting about is willfully ignorant. The protesters are there because they believe that the financial institutions that comprise “Wall Street” exercise too much power in the country’s political and social life. That’s it. That’s what the message is. The reason this seems so obvious is because it is so obvious. “But where are their proposals?” I have heard people complain. “Do they want to put a tax on financial transactions, or do they just want to raise the income tax for wealthy people?” Are you kidding? Technocrats don’t make for good activists. Technocrats should be in Congress, or working at think tanks, or helping Congressmen to craft policy. Protests should do three things: they should express anger, through marches and targeted civil disobedience, at a particular political or social situation. They should give people the opportunity to see that other people, even people different from themselves, share that anger. And they should provide a vision of how life would be better if the world were different. Occupy Wall Street is doing all three of those things.
Finally: I’ve heard a lot of people complain that those currently occupying Zucotti Park are “white college kids” with “dreadlocks” or “safety pins through their noses,” and that this is alienating or disgusting to people who wear button-down shirts and work full-time jobs. Since I’m someone who wears button-down shirts and works a full-time job, this unease is something I’m familiar with. But you know what? You don’t pick protests like you pick restaurants or nightclubs. Nobody wants to read your Yelp review of Occupy Wall Street. The great thing about protest activism is that it becomes meaningful once you stop thinking of yourself as a consumer and start thinking of yourself as a participating citizen. So if you have a problem with all of the ripped jeans and Birkenstocks that you’ve been seeing wandering around Zucotti Park, get your buttoned-down ass on a train or subway, and go there yourself, and start talking to people. Invite your buttoned-down friends. You’ll find, first of all, that the protest begins to look more like something you’re comfortable with. And you’ll find, also, that those people who seem so foreign or naïve to you on television actually want the same things that you want, and that it’s easier to get those things once you get over yourself and start making noise about it.
Romney And Latinos
Pivoting off of Maggie Haberman’s reporting, Ben Smith explains why Romney’s sinister attack on Perry’s immigration record is so politically risky for the GOP in the long-run:
I participated in a panel on the topic of the Hispanic vote … and was struck by two items in the remarks by the pollsters and Latino politics on the panel: That immigration isn’t the top issue for Hispanic voters (“I don’t care about immigration,” Univision executive Chiqui Cartagena announced), and that Hispanic voters are intensely sensitive to rhetoric — more, in the view of some, than policy — that comes off as bigoted or as playing to bigots.
Don’t worry. He’s faking it. He’ll be learning Spanish soon enough.
Sarah Damocles Palin

She is now the final asterisk in the GOP race. And there's been a striking silence from Wasilla lately. Reports of her peeps inquiring into primary deadlines are hard to parse, because, as Allahpundit notes, we don't know when they took place. If it was last week, it's news.
Is it a plausible scenario? If you believe Palin (never a good idea), she has taken her time to see if someone else emerges who can bring her point of view (absent the clinical delusion, congenital dishonesty and wigs) to the White House race. And guess what? If Perry's fall from grace becomes permanent, where will the anti-Romney forces go? Yes, Cain is now the recipient. But she is the incumbent vice-presidential candidate. In the hierarchical nature of Republican electoral politics, she is due more than Cain, even though she is out of her tiny mind. Far right fanatic Dan Riehl makes the case:
Barring another late entry, or unforeseen circumstance, by getting in late, Palin could very well become the last gal standing with enough solid baseline support, name recognition and timely trending attention to take on Romney in a serious way during the actual voting within the GOP primary. What on Earth would there be for a serious conservative to do? If Romney is un-electable, as many have conceded – and, in the view of some, so is Palin – why not fight for principle, as opposed to two ultimately losing candidates?
But is she seriously considering running? Well:
The fact that Palin is touring the early primary states in a giant bus with her name on it would seem, as Jon Stewart has noted, as evidence either that she’s running for president or is crazy (not that these are mutually exclusive options).
Certainly not with Palin. Her main liability – that she is an unstable, adolescent, vindictive incompetent – was fully explored by Joe McGinniss, but the MSM, fearful that their own malpractice in 2008 might be aired, have largely killed the book's chance to get the truth out about this whackjob. I imagine she sees this as another example of her undefeatedness, and further evidence that the MSM needs her for traffic more than it fears her for what she could do to this country and the world. McGinniss thinks the whole thing is a hoax designed for more lucrative speaking gigs.
But consider this. Palin has a cult following of around 10 percent of the GOP base. And this is a floor, not a ceiling. She's not running right now, which surely depresses this number. If she were to run, she could easily end up in double digits while the front-runner cannot move past around 20 percent in this field. She's also under-estimated as a speaker. Why? Because she can deliver a hell of a stump speech for the base, and retains more cred with the base than anyone else, because of Trig. Ralph Reed knows her typical follower well:
“It’s a person who is a devout Christian and a solid social conservative who also has a lot of credentials with the tea party movement,” Reed said. “When you’ve got Herman Cain beating frontrunners to win [the Florida straw poll] it shows you where the activists are right now and I think that’s right in Palin’s wheelhouse.”
And remember her favorite word and self-branding: the rogue. It's possible she could also run as an Independent or Tea Party candidate next year, especially if Romney wins the nomination, and hits a bump in the road. Think about it:
Palin has held the GOP establishment in contempt since 2008. During the 2010 elections, she regularly railed against the “GOP machine” and “good old boys,” and both she and her supporters have accused the party of trying to muzzle Palin. In fact, Palin’s embrace of the Tea Party movement has regularly been coupled with attacks on the Republican Party, and she’s often keen to note that her spirit and principles are conservative, not Republican.
In short, Palin doesn’t claim loyalty to the GOP, and in fact loathes the party establishment. There’d be no greater blow she could strike to the GOP elite than to run as an independent and siphon off votes from the Republican nominee. Party bigwigs would either fawn over her, trying to coax her out of the race, or attack her mercilessly as they try to discredit her among conservative-minded voters. Either way, Palin would once again be the center of attention.
The obvious problem is that she would all but guarantee the re-election of Barack Obama. Is she delusional and narcissistic enough to plow onward regardless?
You betcha!
(Photo: People gather at theTea Party Express rally on September 5, 2011 at Veteran's Memorial Park in Manchester, New Hampshire. The rally is part of the 'Reclaiming America' bus tour traveling through 19 states and visiting 29 cities before arriving in Tampa, Florida for a presidential debate co-sponsored by CNN on September 12. By Darren McCollester/Getty Images.)