by Patrick Appel
Jonathan Bernstein nods:
Mitt Romney will (almost certainly) head to Super Tuesday with a commanding grip on the nomination. He'll have many advantages on that day. If he sweeps the day or close, it will be plain to everyone that the nomination is decided. If he has an OK day, he'll still have a commanding lead. And if he has a bad day…then he's still a clear leader for the nomination, but he enters the 1984 Mondale territory that Nate Silver sees likely.
Frank Rich differs:
Yes, Romney still has more money, more organization, and more delegates (of the few awarded thus far). But a Washington Post/ABC News poll released just before these contests found that by a margin of more than two to one, Americans say that the more they learn about Mitt, the less they like him, and last night added further proof. The standard interpretation of Mitt's triple defeat on cable news (regardless of network) is that "conservatives rejected Romney." But who exactly isn't rejecting Romney?