Rasmussen now shows a three-way tie heading into Tuesday's primary (Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%). Ed Morrissey hypes the race:
It’s been conventional wisdom that Gingrich has to win both Alabama and Mississippi in order to continue in the race. If Romney wins Alabama, though, it might be enough to make a case that neither Santorum or Gingrich has much reason to continue.
Philip Klein has similar thoughts:
Romney has done consistently poorly among evangelical voters, who made up 77 percent of the electorate in the 2008 Alabama GOP primary. That year, Mike Huckabee edged out John McCain and Romney finished a distant third with 18 percent of the vote. If he wins there this time around, it will bolster his case that he's the inevitable nominee and Gingrich and Santorum will start to face pressure to drop out. The poll suggests that Romney is not only continuing to benefit from conservatives' indecision about rallying around an alternative, but that perhaps he's starting to benefit from a "rally around the nominee" effect, which hasn't done much for him through this point in the race.