Taking On Hezbollah – In Paintball

Mitchell Prothero chronicles in Vice an astonishing experience that he, Andrew Exum, and three other journalists recently had:

Yes, I remind myself, this is really happening: Four Western journalists (two of whom alternated in and out of our rounds of four-on-four), plus one former Army Ranger-turned-counterinsurgency expert, are playing paintball with members of the Shiite militant group frequently described by US national security experts as the "A-Team of terrorism." It took nearly a full year to pull together this game, and all along I’d been convinced that things would fall apart at the last minute. Fraternizing with Westerners is not the sort of thing Hezbollah top brass allows, so to arrange the match I’d relied on a man we’ll call Ali, one of my lower-level contacts within the group.

The goal was to get Hezbollah to trust them and then open up about the group's political views. It worked:

I press [The Boss, a Hezbollah leader] on what he thinks could stop this cycle of violence in the south. What if the Israelis left Lebanese lands, made peace with the Palestinians, and never threatened Lebanon again? “Some guys would consider violence the solution to the religious questions, like liberating Jerusalem. But doing so would mean the end of the Resistance,” he says. "So, peace?" I ask. He thinks for a second. "Sure," he replies, without much conviction in his voice.

Going My Way?

The benefits of a shared commute:

A group of Chinese researchers propose what they call the "shared-direction effect" in an upcoming paper in the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. Couples who commute in the same direction, even if they don't travel on the same train or even leave at the same time, seem to be happier together than those who don't, all other things considered. "That is, mere similarity in the direction of commuting to work increases marital satisfaction," the authors report.

Why it works:

[H]olding a cup of hot coffee (physical warmth) may lead people to judge others as friendlier (psychological warmth; in language we say things like “a warm smile”). As long as physical experience and certain concepts are metaphorically linked together, then activating one concept frequently (e.g., commute every working day) can strengthen the other concept (e.g., striving for the same goal) as well.

The Daily Wrap

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Today on the Dish, Andrew demanded substantiation from Jeffrey Goldberg on the "lying" charge, argued that the line between Israel and the settlements was being irrevocably blurred, said "finally!" to the Obama Administration's decision to defend the term Obamacare and the policy the label describes. Arguments on the Supreme Court case about the law began, trying to read the decision tea leaves from the oral arguments was a fraught endeavor, Obamacare wasn't just the mandate, the case seemed unlikely to change the public's view of the law, and pundits projected the political implications of the law's (hypothetical) defeat. Santorum won Catholic voters (for once) and feuded with the NYT, Gingrich called for a very unlikely open convention, GOP turnout looked kinda-okay, 2016 speculation was silly, and SuperPACs (maybe) pushed the GOP in a libertarian direction. Ad War Update here.

Andrew also opened the Ask Charles Murray Anything poll to your questions, campaigned for the petition to get Alan Turing on the 10 pound note, posted some clips from his Bill Maher appearance, and confessed his delight at receiving drunken emails. We drew some conclusions from the coup in Mali, spotlighted New Zealand's economic excellence, debated the markup on legal weed, and weighed the relative merits of credit cards and cash in terms your propensity toward profligate spend. Specific advice formed good habits, readers contested math's supposed uselessness, algae (potentially) replaced oil as fuel, companies measured our digital selves' value, defriending hurt Facebook, and science saw around corners. We wondered if humans could catch a computer cold, checked on our Xanax addiction, worried that American dialects were going stale, got confused by the super-hot March, moved "Toward a Social Psychology of Flatulence" with Andrew's help, and demanded the government release its death grip on our Taco-Copters. Quotes for the Day here and here, Hewitt Nominee here, VFYW here, MHB here, and FOTD here.

Z.B.

(Photo: Georgetown University medical student Kate Prather holds her dog, 3-year-old Ellie, during demonstrations in support of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act outside the Supreme Court Building on March 26, 2012. Prather said her dog has health insurance and that all Americans should have coverage, too. Today the high court, which has set aside six hours over three days, will hear arguments over the constitutionality of the law. By Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.)

Israel And The A-Word, Ctd

Ori Nir, spokesman for the anti-settler group Americans for Peace Now, thinks Munayyer's apartheid labeling is both wrong and unhelpful:

Bringing the 2002 Rome Statute into the mix further confuses and distracts. The Rome Statute talks about a system of racial domination. The conflict between Israelis and Palestinians, Jews and Arabs, is not racially-based. It is a struggle between two national liberation movements who claim the same piece of land. Luckily, both movements have shown a readiness to compromise.  Most Israelis and Palestinians support a resolution to their conflict that would leave each national group with its own independent state.  And ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would give Israeli society the breathing space necessary to address, much belatedly, the discrimination against Israeli citizens of Palestinian origin. 

The real problem, though, is not the Apartheid analogy per-se. The problems is that many people who define the problem as Apartheid, as Munayyer does, do so not because they truly believe it is such, but because the solution they seek for the problem is one that is similar to post-Apartheid South Africa. 

I see no readiness to compromise on the part of the current Israeli government or from the growing sections of Israel's increasingly hardline Jewish population, especially the young. You think the last few years have shown compromise? A settlement "freeze" that meant basically the same pace of building and occupation in the years before and after? A foreign minister who lives in the occupied territory and is, even in the words of Israel's most fanatical supporters, a "neo-fascist" and racist? A brutal bombardment of Gaza with a casualty rate of 100-1 between Arab and Jew? A threat to bomb Iran without even warning the US? A total end-run around a newly elected president who actually, conceivably might have helped bring about a two-state solution?

When you have existed for 60 years and for 40 of them you have controlled the West Bank, you're not kidding anyone. Greater Israel is Israel. Controlling another people in strictly demarcated areas, while Jews can travel with relative freedom anywhere in Greater Israel, is now closer to a formalized apartheid system than a by-product of a temporary occupation and its security demands. And the longer it continues, and the greater the number of settlers entrenched, the harder it will become for Palestinian Arabs to have any semblance of a hope for self-determination.

GOP Voters Rally?

New analysis indicates that turnout is up slightly in meaningful primaries over 2008: 

A strong majority of the most competitive races … have actually seen turnout increase since 2008, including Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Michigan, Ohio, Alabama, Mississippi and Illinois. Of those states, only Mississippi wasn’t also competitive in 2008. The takeaway: When there is major vote in a competitive race, Republicans are turning out to vote — at a rate slightly higher than they did four years ago. No, 2008 wasn’t exactly a banner year for the GOP, so the party probably should hope its turnout would rise. But at least it has risen. So far.

Ed Morrissey is almost reassured

Republican enthusiasm hasn’t waned since 2008, although the small level of increase (two percent overall) makes it hard to argue that it’s waxing.  

More on the GOP's putative turnout problem here, here and here

Face Of The Day

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Georgetown University medical student Kate Prather holds her dog, 3-year-old Ellie, during demonstrations in support of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act outside the Supreme Court Building on March 26, 2012. Prather said her dog has health insurance and that all Americans should have coverage, too. Today the high court, which has set aside six hours over three days, will hear arguments over the constitutionality of the law. By Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.

Gingrich’s Long Goodbye

Last week Newt called for an open convention. Walter Shapiro brings him back to earth: 

[Gingrich] will go through the motions of campaigning while visiting zoos (I suspect the Milwaukee County Zoo will merit a pre-primary visit) and dining in plush hotel restaurants with Callista. When the primaries are finally over, Gingrich may even be given a brief prime-time slot at the Tampa Convention if he effusively endorses the nominee and pledges not to gush about beach volleyball as he did at the 1996 GOP Convention. But the dream that has defined Newt Gingrich’s life for more than a half century ended Saturday without fanfare in the Louisiana bayous.

Ad War Update

The RNC pounces on Obama's "hot mic" comments:  

Meanwhile, the Obama campaign stands up for Obamacare: 

And the DCCC deploys Jed Bartlet: 

Meanwhile, Santorum's Super PAC tries to close the gap in Wisconsin (Romney is currently outspending him by $3 million in the state). 

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