A Mormon Moderate?

BOBBLEMITTAlexWong:Getty

Walter Kirn, a former Mormon, puts Mitt's Mormonism in context:

Romney's fringy Mormonism, much like JFK's Catholicism, insures against him going too far out. Santorum, for one, may be able to delude himself that his beliefs are normal and widely shared and that policies based on them are moral givens. Romney can't afford to think that way… It's only when Mormonism's teachings accord with those of the broader religious right, as they do in the case of homosexuality, that a public figure from the faith can hazard writing them into law. That's scary enough for some folks, and it should be, but Romney the centrist won't go there, I suspect—not if he's actually elected president. As the bearer of Mormonism's long-standing yearning for mainstream modern acceptance, he'd be well advised to sit out the Culture Wars and leave them to more established bands of bigots.

But Romney has gone there – backing a federal constitutional amendment to ban marriage equality for ever; and his church was the core funder of Prop 8, to deny gays the right to civil marriage in California. He's punched every Christianist card he can. If in office, my view is that he will cede social policy to the "more established bands of bigots" who run his party. I know Walter is referring to historic Mormon moderation when engaging the public square. But that's much truer of Huntsman and Reid, rather than Romney and Hatch. It's looking at Morminism in the rear-view mirror, as opposed to the Christianist popular front (evangelicals + Benedict Catholic rump + Mormons) that a Romney presidency might entrench. Wilkinson calls Kirn's article "the most interesting meditation on the subject this campaign season":

Mr Kirn brings to our attention the possibility that it is a mistake to think that Mr Romney has struggled because of his perceived inauthenticity. Rather, Mr Romney has survived despite his Mormonism for many of the same reasons he seems a bit fake. A fully authentic Mitt Romney would be a frankly Mormon Mitt Romney, and that guy wouldn't stand a chance in a Republican primary.

After In-Vitro

Following the birth of his twins, Paul Ford wonders what to do with the extra fertilized eggs he and his wife no longer need:

[D]o we donate? Hand over the genetic material gathered at great personal and financial cost so that a stranger can carry a child of her own? It's a box you check at the clinic, and then they’re not your eggs anymore. These babies might look like us, but they would not be ours. We might never even know the children exist. What is the moral thing? To let the stranger have a chance at that "mutually enriching, mutually enhancing love"?

Yglesias Award Nominee

"The article by Angela Morabito to which Kathryn links is a good example of how conservatives must not sound if they wish to win the debate over the HHS mandate. It suggests that Sandra Fluke has too much sex, says she speaks for 'skanks who don’t want to take responsibility for their choices,' and rebukes her for having 'missed the ten commandments.' Maybe the author was trying to be funny, but instead she conveys arrogance, condescension, and a total lack of manners. But it’s not just about manners. It’s also about making the right arguments. Nothing in this debate hinges on the particular sexual choices of Sandra Fluke, whatever they may be," – Jason Lee Steorts, NRO. 

Has Recent Science Disproven Race?

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Jan Sapp reviews the evidence in two new books on the topic:

[N]ot only are the differences between the classically defined "races" very superficial, they are also of surprisingly recent origin; the variety of human populations seems to have both accumulated and begun to reintegrate within the past 50,000 to 60,000 years. The diversity among us has arisen in a blink of evolution’s eye. The process of relative geographic isolation of local populations into what might have been true races (genetically differentiated populations) during the last Ice Age began to reverse as formerly isolated human groups came back into contact and interbred. That reintegration, which has occurred intermittently throughout human history, is sped up today because of great migration and widespread mating of individuals from disparate geographic origins. The result is that individuals identified as belonging to one “race,” based on the small number of visible characters used in historical race definitions, are likely to have diverse ancestry. 

Jerry Coyne responds that "if that's the consensus, then I am an outlier":

In my own field of evolutionary biology, races of animals (also called "subspecies" or "ecotypes") are morphologically distinguishable populations that live in allopatry (i.e. are geographically separated).  There is no firm criterion on how much morphological difference it takes to delimit a race.  Races of mice, for example, are described solely on the basis of difference in coat color, which could involve only one or two genes. … As we all know, there are morphologically different groups of people who live in different areas.

Kenan Malik stakes a middle ground:

There is no such thing as a ‘natural’ human population. Yet, many of the ways in which we customarily group people socially – by race, ethnicity, nationality, religious affiliation, geographic locality and so on – are not arbitrary from a biological point of view. Members of such groups often show greater biologically relatedness than two randomly chosen individuals. Such groups have often been ghettoized by a coercive external authority, or have chosen to self-segregate from other groups. Hence they are inbred to a certain degree and can act as surrogates, however imperfectly, for biological relatedness. Categories such as ‘African American’, ‘people of Asian descent’ and ‘Ashkenazi Jew’ can be important in medical research not because they are natural races but because they are social representations of certain aspects of genetic variation. They can become means of addressing questions about human genetic differences and human genetic commonalities.

It seems to me pretty obvious that superficial racial differences are a function of relatively recent evolutionary adaptation – and have no core essence or "natural" permanence. Miscegenation and travel scrambles them, making race an increasingly complex phenomenon. But the notion that there are no "human genetic commonalities" that are related to differing populations we crudely assign to something we "socially represent" as "race" is indisputable.

(Photo from Tumblr user Taiga)

The Latino Polling Bombshell

Currently, according to a big poll conducted by Fox News, Obama is leading Romney among Latino voters by 70 – 14 percent. Last time, Obama beat McCain by 67 – 31. Money quote:

While the poll indicates that four of five Latinos who voted for Obama in 2008 would vote for him later this year, Latinos who voted for Republican Arizona Sen. John McCain four years ago are now divided between voting for Obama and the Republican candidates. Forty percent said that they favored Obama while 38 percent said they would vote for Romney. Obama also leads Santorum 38 percent to 34, and Gingrich 40 percent to 38.

I cannot see how the GOP has a future with this kind of gap.

Kristol’s Next War – And Its American Victims

One of the distinguishing characteristics of a moribund ideology is that it seeks not converts but heretics. And one of the distinguishing characteristics of the Greater Israel lobby is that it is rarely satisfied with making its case for constant war in the Middle East, but always tries to target its critics as bigots or "something much darker", as anti-Semites or self-hating Jews, and does what it can to harm these critics – by getting them fired, or removed from think-tanks, or used as disposable pawns in larger political games.

The Emergency Committee for Israel is almost a parody of such tactics, rolled up into one toxic little ball of rage and fanaticism. It's currently engaged in an attempt to get one MJ Rosenberg fired from his perch at Media Matters for using the term "Israel Firster", and to get the White House to diss Media Matters. Alan Dershowitz is also apparently fired up over this campaign to police the discourse:

Not only will [the Media Matters controversy] be an election matter, I will personally make it an election matter…I will speak to every Jewish group that invites me, and I think it’s fair to say I speak to more Jewish groups than probably any other person in the world. I spoke to over a million Jews over the years,,,You know, just last Thursday I spoke to 1,200;  just in the next weeks alone I’ll be speaking — and in the past weeks — to thousands of American Jews. And believe me, I will not let them ignore this issue.

And lest you think Rosenberg will escape his ire, Dershowitz says

I don’t know whether President Obama has any idea that Media Matters has turned the corner against Israel in this way…I can tell you this, he will know very shortly because I am beginning a serious campaign on this issue and I will not let it drop until and unless Rosenberg is fired from Media Matters, or Media Matters changes its policy or the White House disassociates itself from Media Matters.

Lovely, isn't it? I don't like the term "Israel Firster" and have not used it. But the idea that "the full Cantor" is not the guiding principle of AIPAC right now is bizarre. Of course it is. Dan Drezner's definition of the Full Cantor is Cantor's quote that

"we need to make sure that this president is also going to stand by Israel and not allow his administration to somehow speak contrary to what our ally thinks is in its best interest."

Isn't that exactly what ECI believes? And however needlessly provocative the term "Israel Firster" might be, does it compare with the following statement for ugliness, racism and neo-fascism:

“Round up [Gilad Shalit's] captors, the slaughtering, death-worshiping, innocent-butchering, child-sacrificing savages who dip their hands in blood and use women … as shields, hiding behind their burkas and cradles like the unmanned animals they are, and throw them not into your prisons … but into the sea, to float there, food for sharks, stargazers, and whatever other oceanic carnivores God has put there for the purpose.”

Or this, after an Israeli bomb killed a Hamas leader – and 18 others, including the man's four children and wife:

The fight against Islamic radicals always seems to come around to whether or not they can, in fact, be deterred, because it’s not clear that they are rational, at least not like us. But to wipe out a man’s entire family, it’s hard to imagine that doesn’t give his colleagues at least a moment’s pause. Perhaps it will make the leadership of Hamas rethink the wisdom of sparking an open confrontation with Israel under the current conditions. Or maybe not, and the only way to stop Hamas is to eliminate its capacity for violence entirely.

The two statements are from ECI Board member, Rachel Abrams, and its spokesman, Michael Goldfarb. I'd argue that the implication of Goldfarb's last sentence is close to genocide.

My point would simply be this: by what chutzpah do people who have called for war crimes against their enemies, and urged instrumental mass murder of civilians, turn around and get squeamish about a rhetorical excess by someone who is clearly a passionate liberal Zionist? And by what chutzpah do they purloin truncated quotes from five sources for a newspaper ad, four of whom have now objected to being coopted in this manner?

It takes a fanatic.

Who Listens To Limbaugh? Ctd

A reader writes:

Where does this "15 million Rush Limbaugh listeners" number keep coming from?  Talkers Magazine? You think they just might have a vested interest in propping up Rush's numbers, and those of every other yakker they cover?  Check out this image [seen below]. They say they make estimates based on "analyzing" reports from Arbitron, which are absurdly unreliable.  

Another writes:

As someone who has worked in the media business for a while in magazines, newspapers, and online, I have seen how those industries can easily blow up their numbers about their audience. So whenever I hear talk about audience size I usually Audiencechart9111let it fall by the wayside as it really depends on the media and who is calculating the numbers and how they got there. My partner has told me that he was amazed that Limbaugh had 20 million listeners. I told him it was probably way off, based on my experience in other media. So I dug around and found a very helpful article from Media Matters, which estimates his audience at 1.4 million:

[H]ow amazing is this: Limbaugh in 1993 claimed he had 20 million listeners, and in 2009 the press is still mouthing the same statistic. Meaning that, until recently, Limbaugh's audience hadn't budged — not up, not down — in 16 years.. Obviously that doesn't pass any kind of smell test.

Why is it so difficult to pinpoint the number? First, much of radio's ratings methodology remains stuck in the 1960s, and it takes months to generate nationwide audience figures — unlike TV ratings, which can often be measured within 24 hours. And second, because Limbaugh appears on a patchwork of stations all over the country, it's tough to add up all the numbers for an accurate reading. As [Paul Farhi noted], Arbitron, the overseer of U.S. radio ratings, has never tried to measure Limbaugh's audience. And it has no plans to since, as its spokesman told the newspaper, "There is no economic motivation for any objective third party to do that kind of analysis."

Obviously radio syndicators have ratings numbers off of which they sell advertising, but those figures are closely held — unlike Arbitron data, which is more widely available. So, basically, it's up to the syndicator to dole out the ratings numbers to the press; like last year, when Limbaugh's syndicator, Premiere Radio Networks, claimed 20 million listeners tuned into Limbaugh's show each week.

Also keep in mind that eight-digit number is what's known in radio as the "cume" (short for cumulative). It in no way reflects the actual audience size like the way television shows are measured minute by minute or half-hour by half-hour. Instead, the cume number represents a very large — and generous — umbrella covering the number of people who, in theory, tune into a program at any time during the week, even if it's for just two minutes.

Please put the numbers to some test. It is THE reason that politicians listen to him and don’t say anything. They think he has numbers much larger than he does because they are not  trying to get the truth of the size of his audience.

The View From Your Window Contest: Winner #92

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A reader writes:

These contests are getting way too easy.  I mean, come on: a flat, featureless landscape with nondescript trees and buildings on an overcast day?  And just in case there's anyone who could possibly be confused, the three construction cranes are a dead giveaway.  Maybe I'll switch to Angry Birds if this is the best you can come up with.

Another writes:

Not many clues!  It does seem to be a semi-arid region with no surrounding mountains and with some building activity going on (as indicated by the construction cranes). This matches the surroundings of Homs, Syria.  Since the Baba Amr district has been in the news recently, I am going to guess that location.  Since Google Maps indicates there are some relatively open spaces nearby, I am going to guess that it was taken from from a third-story window in the Institute of Computer Technologies building (though I cannot find the Institute's website to confirm this guess … )

Another:

I am a longtime lurker around these parts, but it looks to me like a North Dakota oil boomtown – I'll go with Tioga. Dusty environment, dormitory-like structures (which are being built en masse to house the new oil workers), and what appear to be oil rigs. Unfortunately, I've got nothing else to go on, but I thought I would take my first crack at VFYW.  Thanks!

Another:

Nearly as hard as that parody VFYW contest.  When I see cranes I usually guess China and have a 66.7% chance of being in the right country.  But this feels like a stateside land grant university to me.  Some trees in the background seem to have their leaves while the (oaks?) in the foreground have lost theirs. This first lead me to think Oregon State in Corvallis, where the grey skies would not be out of place.  But that campus has more red brick than concrete or yellow brick, plus the terrain seems too flat.  Maybe Colorado State in Fort Collins as long as the view is facing east – how about from the Forestry building out toward the Oval?

Another:

My first thought is Tuscaloosa, Alabama, looking eastward toward the University of Alabama campus. That looks like Bryant-Denny Stadium on the horizon, with Tutwiler Hall immediately to its right. The problem is that those trees in the foreground should be greener at this time of year, but that must be the kind of weather they had yesterday and there should be a good bit of construction going on after last spring's tornado there.

Another:

This has to be the hardest contest ever.

Unless the trees beneath the window are some rare place-specific variety, there is absolutely no way you can get this. A few nondescript low-rise buildings. Three cranes and a cloudy sky. It could be anywhere. I'll be very impressed by the person who correctly identifies this one!

Another:

I'm guessing the latest one is from Madison, WI.  I went to the University of Wisconsin, which currently has a number of construction projects underway. Although Madison has one of the most unique campuses in the states by virtue of being located on an isthmus, there are a number of buildings in the brutalist fashion as seen in the picture.

Another guesses Springfield, Massachusetts:

First, it's winter or should be winter in this photo.  I know deciduous trees when I see them. The appearance of deciduous trees rules out nearly half of the world. Like there are deciduous trees in Africa.  Second, I notice the appearance of lichen on those trees. Because lichen only occurs in environments with abundant clean air, this rules out anywhere in China or Texas. Third, the window through which we peer looks not just clean but also from a renovated mill. Again, clear glass and old mills, removes all of Africa, China, South America, the American South, and Texas.

It's Texas. Another:

The other day, Thursday, if memory serves, we had a sky like that here in north Texas.  The trees are the right sort of height.  You can see buildings very much like these just east of SH121 not too far north of DFW but not as far north as Copell.  There is also some construction going on down that way, not just at the highway interchange before the split where 121 divides between DFW and Fort Worth, but north and east of there.  So therefore: Grapevine.

Another Texas guess:

We have no idea where this window is.  But we did learn a lot about cranes, since it was the only clue we could think to follow up on.  The visible cranes are likely Terex Peiner Hammerhead tower cranes, and if I had to guess, model SK415s.  Based on the coloring, we think they're owned by Maxim Crane Works.  Unfortunately, Maxim has over 100 such cranes all over the USA.  There is lots of press on their use to build a hospital expansion in Cincinnati, but the leaves on the trees say this photo is not that far north.  And so, we guess a random city in the southern-half of the United States, Fort Worth.

Another:

This one is killing me. Those are Texas live oaks just putting on their spring foliage, those are Texas clouds, and those might even be Texas cranes.  And I have seen this type of ugly but functional 1960s institutional buildings all my life (most of it lived in Texas).  But I just can’t quite place this one.  I know I will kick myself when the secret is revealed.  My best guess is some institution somewhere near San Antonio.    

Close. Another:

The red brick and architecture of the visible building really suggest a government structure or something on the UT Campus.  Plus the live oaks really suggest Texas to me. I'm going to guess it's somewhere on the University of Texas campus.

Wrong university but closer. Another:

I am probably wrong, but it sure looks like this was taken from somewhere in central Texas (the scraggly-looking live oaks in the foreground), perhaps, judging from the neo-Brutalist architecture, on the campus of what is now known as Texas State University in San Marcos (which has a few new buildings under construction.  No time for Googling, and I've won before; I'll just be happy if I'm close.

Quite close. This reader nails it:

I never thought I would come close on a VFYW contest, but I actually recognized this one. Live oaks, ugly sandstone colored brick, Soviet-era style architecture; it must be the place I spent five miserable years for graduate school: the campus of Texas A&M University in College Station, Texas. Given the multi-pane window, it must be from one of the older buildings on campus, plus the fact that you can see Kyle Field in the upper right pane means it's taken from one of the upper stories of the Jack Williams Administration building.

About a dozen readers correctly answered College Station. Another:

You actually had this view as a daily view about a month ago!  It was taken from a northwest facing window of the YMCA Building.  The cranes in the distance are new dormitories going up.  Obscured by the trees in the lower left is All Faiths Chapel where my parents were married … Gig'em Ags!

We were surprised that only a few readers noticed that we published that similar VFYW recently – a hidden clue for a tough contest. Another reader has a different vantage point:

A more pinpoint location is the 3rd floor of the YMCA Building looking northwest over our currently under-construction dorms (that building has had a rough Spring). Here's my view of the same space:

Campus

If my answer is incorrect let me borrow a now infamous phrase from a "former student" of Texas A&M, current Texas Governor Rick Perry: "Oops".

Another:

Whoop! As an Aggie alum (class of '96), I knew this one the moment I saw it. It's looking northwest out of a top-floor window of the YMCA building on the Fightin' Texas Aggie campus. The building in the foreground is the Beutel Health Center, where I was given penicillin in September of '92, after quickly succumbing to one of the bugs that went around my dorm in the first month of my freshman semester. The next building top center is Lechner Hall, a dorm that back in those days was use to house recipients of academic scholarships, and I briefly dated girl in Haas Hall, which is to the left and a bit behind Lechner. My dorm, Moses Hall (home of the Red Ass Bastards) is just out of view to the left.

On a trip back to campus last fall, I found that they had torn down several of the old dorms north of Moses, preparing to build something new. That's what the cranes in the background are for, which puts the date to something fairly recent. See the attached image for my analysis of the window the sender is looking out of:

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The reader with the most accurate answer:

This is a picture of my daughter's future home!  She will be entering Texas A&M next fall, and the buildings in the top window panes are McFadden and Lechner residence halls, where she and the other freshman honors students will live.  She hopes to be a veterinarian some day, and Texas A&M is the only college of veterinary medicine in the state of Texas.  It is also one of the largest in the country, training about 8% of all of the vets in the United States! 

This picture is taken from the YMCA building, and overlooks Beutel Health Center in the foreground.  The cranes in the background are in the Northside Residence Hall construction zone.  It must have been taken from the third floor on the northwest side of the building.  I am going to guess it was taken from the leftmost window in the front group of three as shown here:

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We ran this image by the submitter of the window view and she confirms that the floor is correct but that the exact window is actually the middle one – but close enough for victory, and a book. More details:

I am delighted that you chose the window from my window for this week's contest!  I don't expect that there will be many correct guesses, as the picture has few clues (if any) and is relatively non-descript. I am looking forward to reading what people guess, though!

In any case, I thought that I would provide a bit of detail about the photo, in case you need to adjudicate a winner. The view is from office 402 C in the YMCA Building on the campus of Texas A&M University in College Station, TX. This building is home to A&M's Department of Philosophy, and some student learning services.  The view is facing northwest, and while there are many distinctive features of our campus that Aggies would recognize, there is nothing of note in this photo. But I have a nice sized office and a big window, so I can't complain!

(Archive)

When Can Obama Kill You?

Yesterday, Holder gave a speech on the targeted killing of Americans abroad:

Ackerman still has questions:

Holder did not explain why U.S. forces could not have captured Awlaki instead of killing him, nor what its criteria are for determining on future missions that suspected U.S. citizen terrorists must be killed, rather than captured. Holder did not explain why Awlaki’s 16-year-old son, whom a missile strike killed two weeks after his father’s death, was a lawful target. Holder did not explain how a missile strike represents due process, or what the standards for due process the government must meet when killing a U.S. citizen abroad. Holder did not explain why the government can only target U.S. citizens suspected of terrorism for death overseas and not domestically.

In a separate post, Spencer opines that such killing "must require more protections for a citizen’s rights than the blithe, trust-us assurances that Eric Holder provided." Serwer was also unsatisfied by Holder's speech:

If the standards for when the government can send a deadly flying robot to vaporize you sound a bit subjective, that's because they are. Holder made clear that decisions about which citizens the government can kill are the exclusive province of the executive branch, because only the executive branch possess the "expertise and immediate access to information" to make these life-and-death judgments.

Lucy Steigerwald joins the chorus:

The most frustrating part about this might just be how generous and transparent Obama's people think they are being by explaining this. But why bother with the speech at all if it's always going to come down to trust us, this is legal?