Bill Kristol is still wrong. Serwer puts the meme under a revealing microscope:
This reoccuring non-controversy and speculation about the American Jewish vote has little to do with its actual influence on elections, which is fairly small. Instead it's about constraining the political space any American president has to pursue an equitable and peaceful solution between Israelis and Palestinians. That's why, despite being repeatedly debunked, the narrative that American Jews are about to defect en masse to the Republican Party will never permanently be put to bed. There's a funny irony here, though: If Republicans ever actually succeeded in getting pro-Israel Democrats to abandon their party, bipartisan support for Israel in Congress would be adversely affected.