Believing In The Blog

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Nine years ago, Phil Gyford started putting Samuel Pepys' 1660 London diary online, with each day's post corresponding to the same day's entry. Russell Davies celebrates the project, which will end on May 31, the last entry Pepys wrote in 1669: 

From the start it was clear that Pepysdiary.com meant something. Clay Shirky said in 2003, talking about the emergence of blogs: "The vertigo moment for me was when Phil Gyford launched the Pepys weblog… What that said to me was: Phil was asserting, and I now believe, that weblogs will be around for at least ten years, because that's how long Pepys kept a diary. And that was this moment of projecting into the future: this is now infrastructure we can take for granted." In some worlds ten years isn't very long: it's not if you're digging an undersea tunnel or discovering a cure for disease. But in the busy, silly world of early 21st-century media, making a ten-year assertion was a big deal — something akin to the Clock of the Long Now.

But the next ten years?

(Graph by xkcd)