My previous research had indicated that large changes in the House of Representatives are quite unusual when the White House and House of Representatives are controlled by different parties. As I wrote last October, "It would seem that in the past 60 years voters have been unwilling to reward or blame either party too greatly when faced with split government. They tend to like the status quo." All the factors I look at seem to suggest that will hold. A modest Democratic gain of about 5-13 seats at this point seems the most likely scenario.