What Can We Do For Syria?

Pray that the UN plan works. Marc Lynch explains why arming the opposition is a bad idea:

[Arming the Syrian opposition] is often presented as the least intrusive path.  But in fact it might be the worst of all the options. Providing arms to the opposition would not likely allow it to prevail over the Syrian military.  The regime would likely discard whatever restraint it has thus far shown in order to avoid outside intervention. What is more, the Syrian opposition remains fragmented, disorganized and highly localized. Providing weapons will privilege favored groups within the opposition, discredit advocates of non-military strategies, and likely lead to ever more expansive goals.

It could further frighten Syrians who  continue to support the regime out of fear for their own future, and make them less likely to switch sides.  Arming the FSA is a recipe for protracted, violent and regionalized conflict. It would be foolish to assume that an insurgency once launched can be easily controlled. It should also be sobering that the best example offered of historical success of such a strategy is the American support to the Afghan jihad against the Soviet Union, which led to the collapse of the Afghan state, the rise of the Taliban, and the evolution of al-Qaeda.