The Secret History Of Iran Negotiations

Giandomenico Picco, who successfully negotiated to secure the release of several Western hostages held by Hezbollah some time ago, enlightens us about some hidden history:

In these days of unending articles about inevitable war against Iran and bellicose declarations by various leaders who seem unable to lead without an enemy, it is important to note that over the past three decades, Iran and the West have negotiated at least 12 times—including my own experiences and those directly related to me by others. In almost all these cases, there were positive results.

When Dogma Becomes Prejudice, Ctd

A reader writes:

I am constantly amazed that religious conservatives fail to read carefully the text upon which they allegedly base their dogma. Ross argues that “the Biblical narrative strongly suggests that God intended sex to be” unitive in the “male-female, difference reunited sense . . .” It is not clear to what narrative Ross is referring, but if he is looking for support in Genesis 2, the story of the creation of Adam and Eve, he needs to review the narrative.

As the story goes, after God created the first man, God perceives that it is not good for the human to be alone and thus, decides to “make a suitable partner for him.” Accordingly, God creates the different animals and birds from the dirt and brings them to the human to see what he would call them. Ultimately, none proved to be a suitable partner for the human. So, God causes Adam to fall asleep and removes one of is ribs out of which God forms a woman. When God presents the woman, Adam proclaims: “This one at last is bone of my bone and flesh of my flesh.” It is the sameness of the two humans, that is highlighted in Adam’s response. The woman is like him, as they are made of the same stuff. The suitable partner for the human is the creature made of the same bone and flesh as he, rather than the animals and birds that were created out of the dirt.

The unitive purpose of the narrative appears to be that it is not good for humans to be alone, that they need a suitable partner and that the suitable partner is one like them, of the same flesh and bone. Yes, the first couple are also sexually of different genders, but it is the sameness that is highlighted not their difference. Clearly, as a first couple, they are the beginning human relationships, not the final statement of the expectable diversity.

The Vatican vs American Nuns, Ctd

Peter Popham believes that Benedict is returning to form:

So far Pope Benedict has not been as ferocious a pope as many liberal Catholics feared. Soon after his election he hinted at one reason for that, in a remark to a dinner companion: “It was easy to know the doctrine,” he said. “It is much more difficult to help a billion people live it.” Another reason is that the priest-pedophilia scandal, which has generated vast problems for the church, forced him onto the back foot. But for anyone who dreamed that Benedict had mellowed with age, the decision to hang the LCWR out to dry is a rude awakening.

Garry Wills looks at who the Vatican is welcoming back into the fold:

It is typical of the pope’s sense of priorities that, at the very time when he is quashing an independent spirit in the church’s women, he is negotiating a welcome back to priests who left the church in protest at the reforms of the Second Vatican Council. These men, with their own dissident bishop, Marcel Lefebvre, formed the Society of Saint Pius X—the Pius whose Secretariat of State had a monsignor (Umberto Benigni) who promoted the Protocols of the Elder of Zion. Pope Benedict has already lifted the excommunication of four bishops in the Society of Saint Pius X, including that of Richard Williamson, who is a holocaust denier. Now a return of the whole body is being negotiated.

None of the anti-Semitic ties of the Pius X crew matter to Rome, since that crew holds to the hard line against women priests, gay marriage, and contraception. 

Obama And Romney Agree, For Once

Like Obama, Romney says he supports keeping rates low on student loans, a position the Obama campaign claims is inconsistent with Romney's support of the Paul Ryan budget:

Daniel Stone sees Romney's new position as tacking to the center:

At stake now are undecided independents. Student loans may be the perfect issue to test that water. The rate increase would affect about 7 million students, a small fraction of the electorate, which historically isn’t very vocal in elections. In some ways it’s chump change–extending the low rate will cost the government $6 billion–but in a year framed by debates over spending, any money saved or spent is significant.

Ezra Klein isn't sure that Congress will be able to act:

We've got a lot of questionable priorities in this country. But helping kids afford higher education really isn't one of them. That's why this is, as far as I can tell, the first legislative issue of the campaign in which Obama and Romney have actually agreed. The question is whether that'll be enough.

As Europe Turns, Ctd

Chart

Britain is now officially – and unexpectedly – in a double-dip recession. Maybe revised stats will change this. But more worrying is that most of the cuts in spending have yet to really bite. The debt is, however, currently stable, even if growth is lower than anemic:

Figures released yesterday by the ONS showed that the government borrowed £2bn more than expected in March, but managed to meet its full-year target because of downward revisions to previous months. Total borrowing for the financial year came in £11bn lower than the same period last year, providing relief for the Chancellor who has repeatedly restated his commitment to austerity in an attempt to drive down the deficit and preserve Britain’s AAA credit rating.

Ratings agency Fitch put the UK on negative outlook last month, meaning that there is a one in two chance that the UK's credit rating will be downgraded over the next two years.

Joe Weisenthal plays "spot the Tory" on the above chart (made by Scott Barber):

[T]he first thing to note is that the US has recovered WAY better than either the Eurozone or the UK. So if you think Obama has been a disaster, you might first acknowledge that the US has performed better than all its major Western peers. But beyond that, check out the UK line. The UK was recovering on a fine trajectory right up until early 2010, at which point UK growth hit a brick wall. What happened in 2010? That's when conservative David Cameron came to power with an agenda of reigning in the debt.

Krugman (justifiably) preens:

It’s important to understand that what we’re seeing isn’t a failure of orthodox economics. Standard economics in this case — that is, economics based on what the profession has learned these past three generations, and for that matter on most textbooks — was the Keynesian position. The austerity thing was just invented out of thin air and a few dubious historical examples to serve the prejudices of the elite.

And now the results are in: Keynesians have been completely right, Austerians utterly wrong — at vast human cost.

The Tories, like Obama, inherited a huge debt, and with a much more vulnerable currency than the dollar, they opted for Romney-style austerity swiftly to avoid the fate of Greece and currency speculators. But if austerity kills growth and thereby revenues, the debt problem can worsen. And Britain, remember, isn't in the Euro-Zone; it has some currency flexibility to ride some of the shocks. Even so, the passage this ship has to pass through to growth and lower debt is getting narrower and the rocks and tides more treacherous. The goal of structural fiscal balance within one five-year parliament has already been abandoned in the face of reality.

As I've said before, I have a long record of fiscal hawkishness. I'm a Tory and want them to succeed. But the one time I worry about fiscal retrenchment is in a period of global recession, where premature austerity can hurt, not help. The key is to stimulate enough to get the economy moving on its own momentum and then phase in serious long term structural budget cuts and tax reform. There remains a chance that the US can pull this off – because of Obama's stimulus and extension of the Bush tax cuts. But a sudden collapse in demand that would occur if no post-election deal is reached could change all that – and put America on Europe's path. As would a Romney presidency, as Ezra Klein helpfully reminds us.

An Anti-Abortion Frenzy In The States

I hate the term "war on women". It's so hackish and echoes with the kind of liberal screechiness that backfires with everyone else. But the fact that there is a wave of laws in GOP controlled states, making abortion harder and harder and more humiliating to obtain, and what can reasonably be described as a full-bore assault on Planned Parenthood, is simply undeniable. And women surely take this personally – hence the extraordinary gender gap this time around. But the Christianist GOP is undeterred. While Oklahoma House Republicans temporarily shelve a personhood bill (similar to the initiative defeated by Mississippi voters in November), the Tennessee House and Senate have moved to authorize prosecution for harming an embryo: 

The Senate approved and sent to Gov. Bill Haslam on Monday legislation that allows criminal prosecution for causing the death of "a human embryo or fetus at any stage of gestation in utero." The bill (HB3517) marks the second change in two years to a law that since 1989 had it a crime to cause the death of a "viable fetus." That was changed last year to eliminate the word "viable."

Many in the state are worried about the implications for miscarriage:

[T]his bill goes further than covering, say, a violent attacker harming an expectant mother who then, unfortunately, miscarries. This bill, House Bill 3517 and the Senate’s companion, makes anyone’s actions that presumably cause a miscarriage murder. Opponents of the bill question how law enforcement would actually enforce this law or determine if someone’s action was a direct cause of a miscarriage.

Memphis, Tennessee makes Jezebel's "Ten Scariest Places to Have Ladyparts in America" (but Mississippi wins). Meanwhile, Planned Parenthood Wisconsin is suspending non-surgical abortion services because of a new state law which "requires women visit a doctor at least three times before having a drug-induced abortion, forces physicians to determine whether women are being coerced into having an abortion and prohibits women and doctors from using web cams during the procedure":

Teri Huyck, president and chief executive of Planned Parenthood of Wisconsin, said the law was "ambiguous and difficult to interpret," interfered with the doctor-patient relationship and posed significant risks to doctors. "The added risks of felony penalties for physicians who provide medication abortion are unnecessary and intended to threaten a physician's ability to provide women with medication abortion," Huyck said in a statement from the family planning and reproductive health organization on Friday. About a quarter of abortions in Wisconsin are induced using medication, which can be prescribed by a doctor during the first nine weeks of pregnancy. 

Arizona also recently implemented a law making it much more difficult to access medication abortions.

Murdoch Update: “Get Out Of Britain”

Here's a gallery of the vicious British newspaper covers this morning. In the hearings today, Murdoch took a swipe at Harry Evans, the editor of the Sunday Times when Murdoch took over, and whom Murdoch famously fired. Watch Harry strike back here.

(Full disclosure: Harry is a friend and the husband of Tina Brown, editor of The Daily Beast. I have also written a weekly column about America for Murdoch's Sunday Times for almost two decades now, and have never experienced anything but great editing, complete freedom of thought, and warm collegiality.)