After Obama's end-run around Romney on deferring deportations of young native-born Americans who have broken no law apart from being born, the Latina Oprah, Cristina Saralegui, puts her invaluable imprimatur on the president. It's getting more and more necessary for Mitt to max out his percentage of the Caucasian vote:
Most polls this spring show Obama running near the 52 percent he won among those upscale white women in 2008, and also remaining very close to his 80 percent showing among all minorities. If Obama can hold that level of support from those two groups, Romney could amass a national majority only by winning nearly two-thirds of all other whites—the men with college degrees, and the men and women without them. To put that challenge in perspective, Reagan, while winning his historic landslide, carried a combined 66.5 percent of those three groups. To defeat Obama, in other words, Romney may need to equal Reagan.
Harry Enten keeps tabs on Obama's share of the black vote:
There is a tremendous difference … between leading by "a long way" and repeating his 2008 levels. Black voters have supported Democratic presidential candidates for as long as President Obama has been alive. African Americans went for John Kerry, even, by a very large 77 points in 2004. Combined with making up 11% of the electorate, African Americans added 8.5 points (77 x 0.11) to Kerry's margin. Kerry lost the popular vote to President Bush by only 2.5 percentage points, but he would have won by 0.7 points if black voters had contributed as many points to his total as they did to Obama in 2008.
The Dish 