
Michael Totten foresees a fight:
I’ve been half-expecting a less bloody version of the Algeria crisis in the 1990s where the secular police state voided the election after the Islamists won, precipitating civil war. It’s still too soon to rule that out, but let’s assume for now that it won’t happen, that the Muslim Brotherhood has some (albeit limited) power right now and will use as much of it as possible to transform Egypt in its own image. … Sorry to be grim here, but I see no possibility whatsoever of a happy outcome in this country. Egypt is by far the most Islamist place I’ve ever seen. That volcano can only stay plugged for so long.
Steven Cook casts doubt on the idea that the Brothers will cooperate heavily with Washington:
The sky is not falling and the sun will rise tomorrow, but this emphasis on the pragmatism of the Brotherhood may be leading to false expectation. After all, for more than 30 years the Brothers have run against the U.S.-Egypt relationship and they used those ties to discredit both Anwar Sadat and Hosni Mubarak. Cairo’s relationship with Washington is also deeply unpopular with Egyptians; it developed precisely because Sadat and Mubarak were authoritarians who, to varying degrees, could disregard public sentiment. It would thus be amazingly unpragmatic for the Brotherhood, alleged agents of democratic change, to continue close ties with the United States.
(Photo: Egyptians remained camped in Cairo's Tahrir Square on Monday, June 25, 2012, the first day following the victory of the nation's first popularly elected president, Mohammed Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood. Crowds continue their sit-in at the square in protest of the military's efforts to consolidate power ahead of the president-elect's inauguration. By James Lawler Duggan/MCT via Getty Images.)