The phrase “game changer” has been used 2,870 times in news outlets over the past 30 days. bit.ly/MKduHn
— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) July 19, 2012
Adam Sorensen takes his lumps:
The obvious lesson is that we in the press (me included) overreact to statistical noise in day-to-day horserace polling. That’s pretty much human nature. But here’s another: This presidential race is incredibly close, getting closer over time, and a landslide is unlikely. Sure, that means that Romney releasing or not releasing his tax returns isn’t going to restructure the fundamentals of the race–change the game, if you will. But it also means that the little stuff at the margins could be decisive.